Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nomme Utd U21 vs Levadia U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nomme Utd U21 host Levadia U21 in the Esiliiga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Levadia U21 have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Nomme Utd U21 have conceded 2.07 and scored 1.62. Head-to-head, Nomme Utd U21 have won 1 to Levadia U21's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.69 - 1.88) back Levadia U21 to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Nomme Utd U21
15%
Draws
46%
Levadia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Levadia U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd U21 Levadia U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.62 2
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Levadia U21
1:2
May 25, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
4:2
Mar 16, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
0:1
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs Nomme Utd U21
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd U21 10 / 100
Levadia U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd U21 Levadia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nomme Utd U21 scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Levadia U21 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Nomme Utd U21 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd U21 VS Levadia U21
1 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd U21

(Home)
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
03 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Elva
24 Aug
Viimsi JK
4 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
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Levadia U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 29 9 6 14 47:60 33
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 29 6 4 19 36:76 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)