Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nomme Utd U21 vs Tallinna Kalev

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Evans T.
39' Event
Sal-Al-Saller D.
Assist: Sakarias A.
88' Event
Tomingas K.
Assist: Vain B.

AI Match Summary

Nomme Utd U21 in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nomme Utd U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Nomme Utd U21
20%
Draws
15%
Tallinna Kalev
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tallinna Kalev lately — more wins on the board than Nomme Utd U21.
  • Nomme Utd U21 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd U21 Tallinna Kalev
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.67 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
2:1
Jul 18, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme Utd U21
3:1
Jun 18, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
1:2
May 1, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme Utd U21
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomingas K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Sal-Al-Saller D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd U21 65 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd U21 Tallinna Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nomme Utd U21's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Tallinna Kalev let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Nomme Utd U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd U21 VS Tallinna Kalev
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd U21

(Home)
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
03 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Elva
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Tallinna Kalev

(Away)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)