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Nomme Utd U21 vs Tartu JK Welco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Laasner K.
Assist: Magi M.
48' Event
MIhelson S.
Assist: Krasnov I.
90' Event
Radomskiy A.
Assist: Saarnak J.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Nomme Utd U21 and Tartu JK Welco finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nomme Utd U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nomme Utd U21
20%
Draws
44%
Tartu JK Welco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Nomme Utd U21 haven't matched Tartu JK Welco's recent run of results.
  • Tartu JK Welco are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tartu JK Welco here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd U21 Tartu JK Welco
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.55 3.03
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Tartu JK Welco
2:1
Jun 21, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Nomme Utd U21
5:2
Apr 3, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Tartu JK Welco
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer MIhelson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radomskiy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tartu JK Welco Compare

Top Goalscorer Laasner K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd U21 14 / 100
Tartu JK Welco 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd U21 Tartu JK Welco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tartu JK Welco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nomme Utd U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.

Tartu JK Welco let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Nomme Utd U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd U21 VS Tartu JK Welco
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd U21

(Home)
09 Oct
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Levadia U21
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
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Tartu JK Welco

(Away)
09 Oct
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 0
Elva
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2
Tartu JK Welco
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 31 15 2 14 61:55 47
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)