Sport Picks
Match Events
44'
44'
Krasnov I.
Assist: Beglarishvili Z.
46'
46'
Sub
Vassiljev N. In: Torres A.
Out: Vassiljev N.
51'
51'
Sub
Zenjov S. In: Alliku R.
Out: Zenjov S.
AI Match Summary
The Meistriliiga game between Nomme Utd and Flora finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flora.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
15%
58%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Flora come out ahead of Nomme Utd on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
- History favors Flora here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 13%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nomme Utd | Flora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Flora
2:3
Jul 17, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Nomme Utd
1:2
May 29, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Flora
0:4
Mar 10, 2026 Estonian Cup
Flora vs Nomme Utd
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Nomme Utd
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nomme Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Krasnov I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Beglarishvili Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Flora Compare
Top Goalscorer Valdmets R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Teevali T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nomme Utd 35 / 100
Flora 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nomme Utd Flora
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Flora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nomme Utd scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Flora let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Nomme Utd remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nomme Utd VS Flora
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Nomme Utd
(Home) 19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3 Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3 Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2 Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0 Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3 Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3 Flora
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
29 Aug
Nomme Utd
1 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
14 Aug
Nomme Utd
0 : 1 Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 3
Flora
(Away) 20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3 Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2 Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1 Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2 Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3 Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2 Flora
26 Aug
Tammeka Tartu
3 : 1 Flora
23 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 2 Flora
06 Aug
Inter Escaldes
2 : 0 Flora
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 81:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Flora | 29 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 59:39 | 55 |
| 3 | Paide Linnameeskond | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 48:36 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 52:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Tammeka Tartu | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 37:47 | 44 |
| 6 | Harju JK Laagri | 29 | 11 | 2 | 16 | 40:47 | 35 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 39:57 | 34 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 9 | Nomme Utd | 29 | 9 | 1 | 19 | 47:68 | 28 |
| 10 | Narva | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 22:65 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
