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Nomme Utd vs Harju JK Laagri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Chisala B.
41' Event
Kriis K.
42'
Binate A.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Nomme Utd and Harju JK Laagri finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harju JK Laagri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Nomme Utd
15%
Draws
65%
Harju JK Laagri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harju JK Laagri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Nomme Utd haven't matched Harju JK Laagri's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Harju JK Laagri taking it.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd Harju JK Laagri
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 0 2
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.89 1.96
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Harju JK Laagri
1:2
Jun 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Nomme Utd
1:3
Apr 18, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Harju JK Laagri
1:2
Oct 30, 2025 Estonian Cup
Harju JK Laagri vs Nomme Utd
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Harju JK Laagri vs Nomme Utd
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Beglarishvili Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Harju JK Laagri Compare

Top Goalscorer Kriis K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eerme K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd 10 / 100
Harju JK Laagri 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd Harju JK Laagri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harju JK Laagri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nomme Utd scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Harju JK Laagri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Nomme Utd has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd VS Harju JK Laagri
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd

(Home)
10 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 0
Nomme Utd
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
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Harju JK Laagri

(Away)
10 Oct
Kalju
0 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10
Harju JK Laagri
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 30 15 5 10 52:28 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 30 15 2 13 41:47 47
6 Harju JK Laagri 30 12 2 16 41:47 38
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 30 10 5 15 41:59 35
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 30 9 1 20 47:72 28
10 Narva 30 5 5 20 24:67 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)