Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nomme Utd vs Paide Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Männiku Stadium, Tallinn
Nomme Utd Logo

Nomme Utd

1 - 3
FT
Paide Linnameeskond Logo

Paide Linnameeskond

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Miller M.
Assist: Palacios J.
43'
Sub
Anier H. In: Piht K.
Out: Anier H.
46'
Sub
Miil M. In: Truuvaart A.
Out: Miil M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Nomme Utd and Paide Linnameeskond finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paide Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Nomme Utd
15%
Draws
51%
Paide Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paide Linnameeskond come out ahead of Nomme Utd on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Paide Linnameeskond's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Paide Linnameeskond have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 14%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nomme Utd Paide Linnameeskond
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 11 17
Draws 1 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:3
Aug 23, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme Utd
4:1
May 10, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Paide Linnameeskond
2:3
Apr 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Nomme Utd
3:1
Nov 3, 2024 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Paide Linnameeskond
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nomme Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasnov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nomme Utd 19 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nomme Utd Paide Linnameeskond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nomme Utd scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Paide Linnameeskond let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Recent resilience: Nomme Utd stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nomme Utd VS Paide Linnameeskond
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nomme Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
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Paide Linnameeskond

(Away)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)