Sport Picks
Nomme Utd vs Parnu JK Vaprus Prediction & H2H Stats
Estonia
Estonian Cup Männiku Stadium, Tallinn 
Match Events
20'
20'
Beglarishvili Z.
23'
23'
Chisala B.
35'
35'
Seppik M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nomme Utd come out ahead of Parnu JK Vaprus on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Nomme Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nomme Utd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nomme Utd | Parnu JK Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme Utd
1:0
Sep 2, 2026 Estonian Cup
Nomme Utd vs Parnu JK Vaprus
3:2
May 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme Utd
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Parnu JK Vaprus
7:1
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Nomme Utd
7:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nomme Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Beglarishvili Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chisala B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Parnu JK Vaprus Compare
Top Goalscorer Seppik M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Limberg M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nomme Utd 34 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nomme Utd Parnu JK Vaprus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nomme Utd's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 5.20 goals.
Parnu JK Vaprus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Away concern: Parnu JK Vaprus has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nomme Utd VS Parnu JK Vaprus
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Nomme Utd
(Home) 19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3 Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3 Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2 Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0 Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3 Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3 Flora
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
29 Aug
Nomme Utd
1 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
14 Aug
Nomme Utd
0 : 1 Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 3
Parnu JK Vaprus
(Away) 20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2 Harju JK Laagri
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0 Nomme Utd
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Rakvere FC Freedom 3
Kena JK 2
EstHam United -
TBD -
Kose 8
Kummik 0
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 0
Elva 4
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Tammeka Tartu U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tartu Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 3
TBD -
Kuusalu Kalev -
Narva 10
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Generation Tallinn -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Helm 30
Deliirium 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Johvi Phoenix 4
Elva III 2
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Lahte United 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 3
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TransferWise -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Tartu Helios -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Nomme Utd U19 -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Saue JK Laagri 6
Viimsi Lovid 0
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Rae Spordikool -
Tallinna Wolves 0
Tabasalu 10
TBD -
Tamper -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 4
Rakvere FC Freedom 2
EstHam United 1
Kose 5
Rumori Calcio II 0
Tartu JK Welco 12
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Elva 6
Arukula Vigri 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Tammeka Tartu U19 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 7
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Narva 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Marjamaa Kompanii 8
Generation Tallinn 4
JK Poseidon 3
Helm 2
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa 4
Tulevik 1
Nomme Utd 12
Raplamaa 0
Johvi Phoenix 8
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Kristiine 8
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kuressaare 5
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 6
Saku Sporting 2
Legion 1
Kohvile 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Tammeka Tartu 19
Zealot Sporting 0
Tartu Helios -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK 4
Nomme Utd U19 0
FC Tallinn 4
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Saue JK Laagri 1
Harju JK Laagri U21 2
Harju JK Laagri 8
Rae Spordikool 0
Tabasalu 0
Tamper 2
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK 0
Keila JK 6
Flora U19 6
Pohja-Tallinna 3
1/16-finals
Flora -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Kose 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Elva -
Raasiku Joker -
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 0
Narva 8
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kalju 12
Hiiumaa 0
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 5
Kristiine 0
Kuressaare 8
Olympic Tallinn 0
Saku Sporting 7
Rumori Calcio 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tartu Helios 1
Viimsi JK 4
FC Tallinn 5
Harju JK Laagri U21 0
Harju JK Laagri 3
Tamper 1
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Keila JK 3
Flora U19 2
1/8-finals
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Elva 3
Tallinna Kalev 2
Narva 2
Kalju 0
Nomme Utd 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Kuressaare -
Saku Sporting -
Tammeka Tartu 4
Viimsi JK 1
FC Tallinn 0
Harju JK Laagri 2
Levadia -
Keila JK -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
