Sport Picks
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Nong Bua Pitchaya host Chiangmai United in the Thai League 2. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Nong Bua Pitchaya have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against Chiangmai United's 1.58 scored and 1.65 conceded. Past meetings favor Nong Bua Pitchaya slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.69) back Nong Bua Pitchaya to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Chiangmai United haven't matched Nong Bua Pitchaya's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Nong Bua Pitchaya here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Chiangmai United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nong Bua Pitchaya found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Chiangmai United let in goals in 85% of their last 26 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Nong Bua Pitchaya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nong Bua Pitchaya
(Home)Chiangmai United
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khonkaen United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Uttaradit FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Muang Loei Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Phrae United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 6 | Chainat Hornbill | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Muang Thong Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Satun FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 9 | Kanchanaburi | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Police Tero | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 12 | Songkhla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 13 | Chanthaburi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Nakhon Pathom | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 15 | Pattaya United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | 4 |
| 16 | Mahasarakham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 18 | Kasetsart | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:6 | 1 |