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Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Buakhai P.
21' Event
Luan Costa

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 game between Nong Bua Pitchaya and Kasetsart finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nong Bua Pitchaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Nong Bua Pitchaya
20%
Draws
10%
Kasetsart
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nong Bua Pitchaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nong Bua Pitchaya come out ahead of Kasetsart on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nong Bua Pitchaya a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 20%
Kasetsart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nong Bua Pitchaya Kasetsart
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.07
Goals Conceded 2 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
3:0
Aug 22, 2025 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart
2:2
Feb 25, 2024 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Kasetsart
10:1
Oct 28, 2023 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nong Bua Pitchaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Buakhai P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luan Costa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kasetsart Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nong Bua Pitchaya 76 / 100
Kasetsart 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nong Bua Pitchaya Kasetsart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nong Bua Pitchaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nong Bua Pitchaya's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Kasetsart's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Nong Bua Pitchaya stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nong Bua Pitchaya VS Kasetsart
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nong Bua Pitchaya

(Home)
19 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
4 : 3
Satun FC
16 Sept
Uttaradit FC
2 : 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
06 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 0
Kasetsart
23 May
Pattani
3 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
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Kasetsart

(Away)
10 Oct
Chiangmai United
2 : 0
Kasetsart
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
17 Sept
Chanthaburi
2 : 0
Kasetsart
13 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 2
Uttaradit FC
06 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 0
Kasetsart
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Chiangmai United 5 3 0 2 7:4 9
3 Muang Loei Utd 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
4 Uttaradit FC 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
5 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
6 Nakhon Pathom 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
7 Phrae United 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
8 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
9 Police Tero 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Muang Thong Utd 5 2 1 2 3:5 7
11 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
12 Kanchanaburi 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
13 Songkhla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
14 Pattaya United 5 1 2 2 3:8 5
15 Chanthaburi 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
16 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 5 0 3 2 6:8 3
17 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
18 Kasetsart 5 0 1 4 0:8 1
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