Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Khonkaen United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ouattara A.
45' Event
Songma J.
59' Event
Sanmahung N.

AI Match Summary

Nong Bua Pitchaya in this Thai League 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nong Bua Pitchaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Nong Bua Pitchaya
28%
Draws
22%
Khonkaen United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nong Bua Pitchaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nong Bua Pitchaya have won more games recently than Khonkaen United.
  • Win probability leans Nong Bua Pitchaya's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Thai League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nong Bua Pitchaya have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 10%
Khonkaen United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nong Bua Pitchaya Khonkaen United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 3 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Khonkaen United
4:2
Dec 6, 2025 Thai League 2
Khonkaen United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 Thai League 1
Khonkaen United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Thai League 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Khonkaen United
6:1
Dec 6, 2023 League Cup
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Khonkaen United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nong Bua Pitchaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Songma J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mermoz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Khonkaen United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouattara A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanmahung N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nong Bua Pitchaya 47 / 100
Khonkaen United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nong Bua Pitchaya Khonkaen United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nong Bua Pitchaya scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Khonkaen United has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Nong Bua Pitchaya stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nong Bua Pitchaya VS Khonkaen United
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nong Bua Pitchaya

(Home)
23 May
Pattani
3 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
16 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 1
Pattani
09 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 1
Police Tero
03 May
Police Tero
2 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
25 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 3
Rasisalai United
Page 1 of 6

Khonkaen United

(Away)
25 Apr
Mahasarakham
2 : 2
Khonkaen United
19 Apr
Khonkaen United
1 : 0
Kasetsart
05 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
4 : 2
Khonkaen United
21 Mar
Khonkaen United
2 : 1
Chiangmai United
18 Mar
Port MTI FC
7 : 0
Khonkaen United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rasisalai United342011364:3571
2Sisaket United341612649:3160
3Pattani341610849:4558
4Nong Bua Pitchaya341661259:5954
5Police Tero341581150:4453
6Chainat Hornbill3412101250:4646
7Khonkaen United3411121160:5245
8Mahasarakham341291347:4245
9Trat FC341281449:5344
10Chiangmai United341411955:5843
11Phrae United3410131140:5043
12Pattaya United3410121245:4242
13Songkhla341181537:4641
14Chanthaburi3410101444:4640
15Nakhon Pathom341091529:3739
16Kasetsart349111446:4938
17Nakhon Si United348121432:5436
18Bangkok FC34981740:5635
19Lampang F.C.00000:00
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)