Sport Picks
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero
Thailand
Thai League 2 2025/2026 Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu 
Match Events
19'
19'
Capistrano J.
38'
38'
Capistrano J.
47'
47'
Marom W.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Nong Bua Pitchaya and Police Tero finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nong Bua Pitchaya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nong Bua Pitchaya come out ahead of Police Tero on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Nong Bua Pitchaya's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 10%
Police Tero Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nong Bua Pitchaya | Police Tero |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero
3:1
May 3, 2026 Thai League 2
Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero
6:3
Nov 9, 2025 Thai League 2
Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
5:2
Apr 2, 2023 Thai League 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nong Bua Pitchaya Compare
Top Goalscorer Capistrano J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mermoz A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Police Tero Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro Henrique
2 Goals Assists Leader Namphueng S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nong Bua Pitchaya 40 / 100
Police Tero 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nong Bua Pitchaya Police Tero
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nong Bua Pitchaya scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.
Police Tero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.
Nong Bua Pitchaya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nong Bua Pitchaya VS Police Tero
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nong Bua Pitchaya
(Home) 23 May
Pattani
3 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
16 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 1 Pattani
09 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 1 Police Tero
03 May
Police Tero
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
25 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 3 Rasisalai United
Page 1 of 7
16 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 1 Pattani
09 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 1 Police Tero
25 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 3 Rasisalai United
05 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
4 : 2 Khonkaen United
28 Mar
Nong Bua Pitchaya
6 : 3 Police Tero
Page 1 of 4
Police Tero
(Away) 09 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 1 Police Tero
03 May
Police Tero
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
25 Apr
Chanthaburi
1 : 1 Police Tero
18 Apr
Police Tero
3 : 1 Phrae United
05 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
2 : 1 Police Tero
Page 1 of 7
09 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 1 Police Tero
25 Apr
Chanthaburi
1 : 1 Police Tero
05 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
2 : 1 Police Tero
28 Mar
Nong Bua Pitchaya
6 : 3 Police Tero
15 Mar
Bangkok FC
1 : 0 Police Tero
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasisalai United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 64:35 | 71 |
| 2 | Sisaket United | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 49:31 | 60 |
| 3 | Pattani | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 49:45 | 58 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59:59 | 54 |
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Chainat Hornbill | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50:46 | 46 |
| 7 | Khonkaen United | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 60:52 | 45 |
| 8 | Mahasarakham | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:42 | 45 |
| 9 | Trat FC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 49:53 | 44 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:50 | 43 |
| 12 | Pattaya United | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45:42 | 42 |
| 13 | Songkhla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:46 | 41 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | 39 |
| 16 | Kasetsart | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46:49 | 38 |
| 17 | Nakhon Si United | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:54 | 36 |
| 18 | Bangkok FC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 40:56 | 35 |
| 19 | Lampang F.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
