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Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Caio Rodrigues
32' Event
Matheus Guedes
60' Event
Caio S.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 game between Nong Bua Pitchaya and Satun FC finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nong Bua Pitchaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nong Bua Pitchaya
15%
Draws
39%
Satun FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nong Bua Pitchaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nong Bua Pitchaya come out ahead of Satun FC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 12%
Satun FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nong Bua Pitchaya Satun FC
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 14 3
Draws 4 0
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.83 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun FC
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nong Bua Pitchaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Rodrigues
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Guedes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Satun FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wijitpunya D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nong Bua Pitchaya 30 / 100
Satun FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nong Bua Pitchaya Satun FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Satun FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nong Bua Pitchaya found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Satun FC has conceded goals in 78% of their last 9 outings.

Solid form: Nong Bua Pitchaya remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nong Bua Pitchaya VS Satun FC
2 Goals Scored 1.57
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.29
100% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Nong Bua Pitchaya

(Home)
19 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
4 : 3
Satun FC
16 Sept
Uttaradit FC
2 : 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
06 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 0
Kasetsart
23 May
Pattani
3 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Page 1 of 6

Satun FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
4 : 3
Satun FC
15 Sept
Satun FC
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
12 Sept
Songkhla
1 : 3
Satun FC
06 Sept
Satun FC
2 : 4
Kanchanaburi
28 Dec
Satun FC
0 : 2
Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Chiangmai United 5 3 0 2 7:4 9
3 Muang Loei Utd 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
4 Uttaradit FC 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
5 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
6 Nakhon Pathom 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
7 Phrae United 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
8 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
9 Police Tero 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Muang Thong Utd 5 2 1 2 3:5 7
11 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
12 Kanchanaburi 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
13 Songkhla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
14 Pattaya United 5 1 2 2 3:8 5
15 Chanthaburi 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
16 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 5 0 3 2 6:8 3
17 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
18 Kasetsart 5 0 1 4 0:8 1
Promotion - Thai League 1 2027/2028 (Main)
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