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Nongkseh vs Mumbay FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Durand Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Nongbri H.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Pale K.
56' Event
Lyngdoh C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 7-0. The second leg ended 7-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nongkseh
15%
Draws
0%
Mumbay FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nongkseh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nongkseh come out ahead of Mumbay FC on wins alone.
  • Nongkseh are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Nongkseh have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nongkseh, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 76.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Nongkseh Clean Sheet 20%
Mumbay FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nongkseh Mumbay FC
Matches Played 3 7
Wins 1 0
Draws 1 2
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 3 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.33 3.71
Expected Goals (xG) 3.35 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Durand Cup
Nongkseh vs Mumbay FC
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nongkseh Compare

Top Goalscorer Challam D. C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pale K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.58
Avg xA / game 1.68

Mumbay FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nongkseh 85 / 100
Mumbay FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nongkseh Mumbay FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nongkseh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mumbay FC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 7 outings.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Mumbay FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Nongkseh found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (3 games).

Scoring Trends

Nongkseh VS Mumbay FC
3 Goals Scored 0.71
1.33 Goals Conceded 3.71
100% Over 1.5 86%
67% Over 2.5 86%
67% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Nongkseh

(Home)
11 Aug
Nongkseh
7 : 0
Mumbay FC
06 Aug
Nongkseh
2 : 2
Langsning
31 Jul
Lajong
2 : 0
Nongkseh

Mumbay FC

(Away)
11 Aug
Nongkseh
7 : 0
Mumbay FC
08 Aug
Lajong
5 : 0
Mumbay FC
03 Aug
Langsning
5 : 0
Mumbay FC
04 May
Mumbay FC
1 : 4
Samaleswari SC
02 May
CD Salgaocar
1 : 0
Mumbay FC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 3 3 0 0 15:0 9
2 East Bengal 3 2 0 1 13:1 6
3 South United 3 1 0 2 2:13 3
4 CISF Protectors 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Army Red 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Samaleswari SC 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Mohammedan 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
4 Baghpat 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Delhi 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Jamshedpur 3 2 0 1 12:2 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 1 0 2 3:14 3
4 Defenders FC 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Raengdai 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
2 TRAU FC 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 NEROCA 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Indian Navy 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lajong 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Langsning 3 1 2 0 10:5 5
3 Nongkseh 3 1 1 1 9:4 4
4 Mumbay FC 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Bodoland FC 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 FC 1 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Karbi Anglong 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)