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Nordic United vs Falkenberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Sodertalje Fotbollsarena
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Andersson A.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Andersson A.
Assist: Lindberg O.
46'
Sub
Gronborg T. In: Eminovic A.
Out: Gronborg T.

AI Match Summary

Nordic United host Falkenberg in the Superettan. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Falkenberg have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Nordic United have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Falkenberg slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.56, favoring Falkenberg. Falkenberg in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nordic United
30%
Draws
34%
Falkenberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nordic United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Falkenberg has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nordic United.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Nordic United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Superettan provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Nordic United Clean Sheet 15%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordic United Falkenberg
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 13 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Superettan
Nordic United vs Falkenberg
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nordic United Compare

Top Goalscorer Shhab S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Falkenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bertilsson N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordic United 35 / 100
Falkenberg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordic United Falkenberg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordic United scored in 88% of their last 25 games.

Falkenberg let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Nordic United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Falkenberg lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nordic United VS Falkenberg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkenberg1484228:2028
2Varberg1483328:1727
3Norrkoping1482423:1026
4Landskrona1474322:1425
5Ostersund1464422:1922
6Nordic United1464423:2222
7Oddevold1455426:2220
8Oster1462621:2320
9Helsingborg1462626:2920
10Sandviken1454524:2019
11Brage1444626:2616
12Ljungskile1444618:1816
13Norrby1428416:2014
14Orebro1435613:2014
15Varnamo14311015:3110
16Sundsvall14301111:319