Sport Picks
Nordmark Satrup vs Dornbreite Lubeck
Germany
Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 
Match Events
7'
7'
Ottsen C.
28'
28'
Nader A.
51'
51'
Ottsen C.
AI Match Summary
Nordmark Satrup in this Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nordmark Satrup.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nordmark Satrup
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nordmark Satrup lately — more wins on the board than Dornbreite Lubeck.
- Model gives Nordmark Satrup a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Nordmark Satrup have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Nordmark Satrup Clean Sheet 14%
Dornbreite Lubeck Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nordmark Satrup | Dornbreite Lubeck |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 3.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Dornbreite Lubeck vs Nordmark Satrup
3:3
Oct 12, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Dornbreite Lubeck
3:2
May 11, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Dornbreite Lubeck vs Nordmark Satrup
1:2
Jul 29, 2023 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Dornbreite Lubeck
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nordmark Satrup Compare
Top Goalscorer Ottsen C.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Dornbreite Lubeck Compare
Top Goalscorer Nader A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kalfa F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nordmark Satrup 84 / 100
Dornbreite Lubeck 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nordmark Satrup Dornbreite Lubeck
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nordmark Satrup Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dornbreite Lubeck let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.
Nordmark Satrup's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 38 recent games.
Nordmark Satrup has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nordmark Satrup VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Nordmark Satrup
(Home) 19 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1 Hohenwestedt
13 Sept
VfR Neumunster
3 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
05 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1 Kaltenkirchener
29 Aug
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 3 Holstein Kiel II
22 Aug
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 0 SC Rapid Lubeck
Page 1 of 8
19 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1 Hohenwestedt
05 Sept
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 1 Kaltenkirchener
29 Aug
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 3 Holstein Kiel II
22 Aug
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 0 SC Rapid Lubeck
15 Aug
Nordmark Satrup
1 : 3 Oldenburger SV
Page 1 of 5
Dornbreite Lubeck
(Away) 17 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
0 : 1 Eutin 08
09 May
Kilia Kiel
5 : 0 Dornbreite Lubeck
03 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
3 : 3 Nordmark Satrup
26 Apr
Rotenhof
4 : 0 Dornbreite Lubeck
12 Apr
Dornbreite Lubeck
0 : 9 PSV Neumunster
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Kilia Kiel
5 : 0 Dornbreite Lubeck
26 Apr
Rotenhof
4 : 0 Dornbreite Lubeck
22 Mar
Oldenburger SV
0 : 3 Dornbreite Lubeck
08 Mar
TSB Flensburg
7 : 2 Dornbreite Lubeck
17 Nov
VfR Neumunster
5 : 2 Dornbreite Lubeck
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilia Kiel | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 109:43 | 74 |
| 2 | Heider SV | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 90:41 | 68 |
| 3 | PSV Neumunster | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 83:36 | 62 |
| 4 | Eichede | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 64:27 | 59 |
| 5 | Nordmark Satrup | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 62:52 | 41 |
| 6 | Preussen Reinfeld | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 54:56 | 41 |
| 7 | Hohenwestedt | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 50:64 | 40 |
| 8 | Oldenburger SV | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 66:68 | 38 |
| 9 | Eutin 08 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49:54 | 37 |
| 10 | Rotenhof | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 58:68 | 35 |
| 11 | VfR Neumunster | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 55:67 | 35 |
| 12 | Lubeck II | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 13 | Eckernforder SV | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 53:68 | 32 |
| 14 | TSB Flensburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 51:70 | 31 |
| 15 | Eidertal Molfsee | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 44:85 | 27 |
| 16 | Dornbreite Lubeck | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 32:104 | 13 |
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)
