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Stadium Background

Nordmark Satrup vs Dornbreite Lubeck

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ottsen C.
28' Event
Nader A.
51' Event
Ottsen C.

AI Match Summary

Nordmark Satrup host Dornbreite Lubeck in the Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Nordmark Satrup have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Dornbreite Lubeck's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Nordmark Satrup slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2025, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 1.25) point toward Nordmark Satrup. Nordmark Satrup in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nordmark Satrup
6%
Draws
4%
Dornbreite Lubeck
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nordmark Satrup

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nordmark Satrup has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Dornbreite Lubeck.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Nordmark Satrup.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Nordmark Satrup Clean Sheet 19%
Dornbreite Lubeck Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordmark Satrup Dornbreite Lubeck
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Dornbreite Lubeck vs Nordmark Satrup
3:3
Oct 12, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Dornbreite Lubeck
3:2
May 11, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Dornbreite Lubeck vs Nordmark Satrup
1:2
Jul 29, 2023 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Nordmark Satrup vs Dornbreite Lubeck
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nordmark Satrup Compare

Top Goalscorer Ottsen C.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dornbreite Lubeck Compare

Top Goalscorer Nader A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalfa F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordmark Satrup 85 / 100
Dornbreite Lubeck 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordmark Satrup Dornbreite Lubeck

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordmark Satrup scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

Dornbreite Lubeck let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Nordmark Satrup went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dornbreite Lubeck lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nordmark Satrup VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kilia Kiel302280109:4374
2Heider SV30215490:4168
3PSV Neumunster30195683:3662
4Eichede30178564:2759
5Nordmark Satrup301181162:5241
6Preussen Reinfeld301181154:5641
7Hohenwestedt301171250:6440
8Oldenburger SV301081266:6838
9Eutin 08301071349:5437
10Rotenhof301051558:6835
11VfR Neumunster30981355:6735
12Lubeck II30961551:6833
13Eckernforder SV30881453:6832
14TSB Flensburg30871551:7031
15Eidertal Molfsee30761744:8527
16Dornbreite Lubeck30342332:10413