Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nordstrand vs Baerum

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Jansson O.
27' Event
Bransdal L.
32' Event
Jansson O.

AI Match Summary

Baerum in this Division 3 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baerum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Nordstrand
20%
Draws
73%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Baerum have won more games recently than Nordstrand.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Baerum taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Nordstrand Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordstrand Baerum
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.93 3.14
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 3.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Nordstrand
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Nordstrand vs Baerum
1:5
Feb 8, 2025 OBOS Supercup
Nordstrand vs Baerum
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Baerum vs Nordstrand
3:3
May 25, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Nordstrand vs Baerum
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nordstrand Compare

Top Goalscorer Aljenki O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Jansson O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bransdal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.24
Avg xA / game 1.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordstrand 10 / 100
Baerum 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordstrand Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordstrand scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Baerum has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Nordstrand stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nordstrand VS Baerum
2.13 Goals Scored 4
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Nordstrand

(Home)
12 Sept
Union Carl Berner
1 : 1
Nordstrand
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0
Nordstrand
01 Sept
Nordstrand
3 : 5
Grei
22 Aug
Nordstrand
1 : 4
Skeid
17 Aug
KFUM Oslo 2
7 : 2
Nordstrand
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Baerum

(Away)
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0
Nordstrand
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
15 Aug
Grei
1 : 7
Baerum
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