Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nordvarmland vs FBK Karlstad

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FBK Karlstad in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FBK Karlstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Nordvarmland
17%
Draws
70%
FBK Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FBK Karlstad have won more games recently than Nordvarmland.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on FBK Karlstad taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Nordvarmland Clean Sheet 15%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordvarmland FBK Karlstad
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 8 23
Draws 2 4
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Nordvarmland vs FBK Karlstad
1:2
May 20, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
FBK Karlstad vs Nordvarmland
2:0
Oct 13, 2018 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Nordvarmland vs FBK Karlstad
7:3
Jun 20, 2018 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
FBK Karlstad vs Nordvarmland
0:0
Aug 12, 2017 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
FBK Karlstad vs Nordvarmland
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordvarmland 15 / 100
FBK Karlstad 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordvarmland FBK Karlstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Nordvarmland's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FBK Karlstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 38 matches.

FBK Karlstad lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FBK Karlstad
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nordvarmland

(Home)
21 Oct
Torslanda
4 : 1
Nordvarmland
15 Oct
Nordvarmland
0 : 6
IFK Skovde
08 Oct
IK Zenith
2 : 0
Nordvarmland
30 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Nordvarmland
23 Sept
Nordvarmland
2 : 3
Vanersborgs FK
Page 1 of 6

FBK Karlstad

(Away)
26 Jun
FBK Karlstad
0 : 7
Hammarby TFF
18 Jun
Sollentuna
0 : 2
FBK Karlstad
14 Jun
FC Stockholm Internazionale
3 : 1
FBK Karlstad
09 Jun
Sturehov IK
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
05 Jun
FBK Karlstad
2 : 3
Karlstad
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Torslanda26185359:1959
2FBK Karlstad26185355:3059
3IFK Skovde26156559:2851
4Herrestads AIF26145739:2347
5Stenungsunds IF26126841:3442
6Grebbestad261061039:4936
7Vanersborgs FK26951234:4932
8Forward26941341:4231
9Lidkoping26710930:3231
10Gauthiod26931437:4330
11Saffle SK26841426:4328
12IK Zenith26751437:4626
13Nordvarmland26621826:5820
14Yxhults IK26541731:5819
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)