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Nordvarmland vs Saffle SK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nordvarmland play Saffle SK in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nordvarmland averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Saffle SK averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Nordvarmland won 0, Saffle SK won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 5, 2023 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Nordvarmland and 1.18 for Saffle SK. This points to a Saffle SK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nordvarmland
33%
Draws
40%
Saffle SK
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Saffle SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Saffle SK has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nordvarmland.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Saffle SK.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Nordvarmland Clean Sheet 20%
Saffle SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nordvarmland Saffle SK
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Nordvarmland vs Saffle SK
0:4
Apr 1, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Saffle SK vs Nordvarmland
3:1
Sep 2, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Saffle SK vs Nordvarmland
2:2
May 14, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Nordvarmland vs Saffle SK
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nordvarmland 28 / 100
Saffle SK 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nordvarmland Saffle SK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nordvarmland scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Saffle SK let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Nordvarmland went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Saffle SK lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Saffle SK
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Torslanda26185359:1959
2FBK Karlstad26185355:3059
3IFK Skovde26156559:2851
4Herrestads AIF26145739:2347
5Stenungsunds IF26126841:3442
6Grebbestad261061039:4936
7Vanersborgs FK26951234:4932
8Forward26941341:4231
9Lidkoping26710930:3231
10Gauthiod26931437:4330
11Saffle SK26841426:4328
12IK Zenith26751437:4626
13Nordvarmland26621826:5820
14Yxhults IK26541731:5819