Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norrby vs Helsingborg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Borås Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Norrby play Helsingborg in the Superettan. It looks like a close match. Recently, Norrby averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Helsingborg averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. In past meetings, Norrby won 1, Helsingborg won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Norrby and 1.50 for Helsingborg. This points to a Helsingborg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Norrby
32%
Draws
34%
Helsingborg
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Helsingborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Norrby picked up more points recently compared to Helsingborg.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Norrby Clean Sheet 16%
Helsingborg Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrby Helsingborg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Superettan
Norrby vs Helsingborg
3:3
Sep 29, 2021 Superettan
Norrby vs Helsingborg
2:2
May 19, 2021 Superettan
Helsingborg vs Norrby
0:2
Aug 2, 2018 Superettan
Helsingborg vs Norrby
2:0
May 24, 2018 Superettan
Norrby vs Helsingborg
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norrby Compare

Top Goalscorer Bichis J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulazeez Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Helsingborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Appiah Nyarko K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johansson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrby 34 / 100
Helsingborg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrby Helsingborg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Helsingborg or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Norrby attacking → ← attacking Helsingborg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norrby scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Helsingborg let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Norrby went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Helsingborg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 41
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Falkenberg1484228:2028
2Varberg1483328:1727
3Norrkoping1482423:1026
4Landskrona1474322:1425
5Ostersund1464422:1922
6Nordic United1464423:2222
7Oddevold1455426:2220
8Oster1462621:2320
9Helsingborg1462626:2920
10Sandviken1454524:2019
11Brage1444626:2616
12Ljungskile1444618:1816
13Norrby1428416:2014
14Orebro1435613:2014
15Varnamo14311015:3110
16Sundsvall14301111:319