Sport Picks

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Norrby vs Ostersund

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Borås Arena, Borås
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Norrby host Ostersund in the Superettan. Little to choose between these two on current form. Norrby have averaged 1 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Ostersund's 1.63 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Norrby have won 1 to Ostersund's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.63) point toward Ostersund. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Norrby
44%
Draws
20%
Ostersund
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Norrby haven't matched Ostersund's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Norrby Clean Sheet 14%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrby Ostersund
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Superettan
Ostersund vs Norrby
1:1
Nov 5, 2022 Superettan
Ostersund vs Norrby
1:0
Jun 28, 2022 Superettan
Norrby vs Ostersund
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrby 35 / 100
Ostersund 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrby Ostersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norrby's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ostersund conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Norrby went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Norrby VS Ostersund
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Norrby

(Home)
11 Jul
Varberg
4 : 2
Norrby
28 Jun
Norrkoping
0 : 1
Norrby
21 Jun
Norrby
0 : 0
Nordic United
14 Jun
Norrby
0 : 2
Oddevold
10 Jun
Varberg
2 : 0
Norrby
Page 1 of 6

Ostersund

(Away)
18 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 0
Landskrona
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 2
Ostersund
21 Jun
Ostersund
0 : 2
Norrkoping
14 Jun
Ljungskile
1 : 1
Ostersund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Varberg1593332:1930
2Falkenberg1484228:2028
3Norrkoping1482423:1026
4Landskrona1574422:1625
5Ostersund1574424:1925
6Oster1572624:2523
7Nordic United1464423:2222
8Oddevold1555528:2620
9Helsingborg1462626:2920
10Sandviken1454524:2019
11Ljungskile1444618:1816
12Brage1544728:2916
13Norrby1428416:2014
14Orebro1435613:2014
15Varnamo14311015:3110
16Sundsvall14301111:319
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)