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Norrby vs Ostersund Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Borås Arena, Borås
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Abdulazeez Y.
46'
Sub
Ali J. In: Palomino M.
Out: Ali J.
57' Event
Palomino M.
Assist: Marklund S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Norrby
35%
Draws
58%
Ostersund
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Norrby haven't matched Ostersund's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ostersund a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Norrby Clean Sheet 19%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrby Ostersund
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 13 11
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.27 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Superettan
Norrby vs Ostersund
2:2
Apr 11, 2026 Superettan
Ostersund vs Norrby
1:1
Nov 5, 2022 Superettan
Ostersund vs Norrby
1:0
Jun 28, 2022 Superettan
Norrby vs Ostersund
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norrby Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulazeez Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adewale I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Palomino M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrby 28 / 100
Ostersund 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrby Ostersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostersund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norrby's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ostersund conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Norrby went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Norrby VS Ostersund
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Norrby

(Home)
20 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 0
Norrby
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2
Varberg
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
05 Sept
Norrby
1 : 3
Landskrona
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
Page 1 of 6

Ostersund

(Away)
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
14 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1
Ostersund
29 Aug
Landskrona
1 : 1
Ostersund
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)