Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norrby vs Varberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Borås Arena, Borås
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Axede C.
58' Event
Arlig W.
Assist: Johansson N.
62'
Sub
Johansson N. In: Dahlstrom N.
Out: Johansson N.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Norrby and Varberg finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Norrby
35%
Draws
41%
Varberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Varberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Norrby haven't matched Varberg's recent run of results.
  • Varberg are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Varberg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Norrby Clean Sheet 16%
Varberg Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrby Varberg
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 12 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.26 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Superettan
Norrby vs Varberg
1:2
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Norrby
4:2
Jun 10, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Norrby
2:0
Mar 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Norrby
3:2
Jun 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Norrby
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norrby Compare

Top Goalscorer Axede C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Arlig W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kahed L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrby 23 / 100
Varberg 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrby Varberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Norrby scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Varberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Norrby remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Norrby VS Varberg
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Norrby

(Home)
31 Oct
Norrby
0 : 3
Varnamo
25 Oct
Norrby
0 : 4
Norrkoping
18 Oct
Nordic United
2 : 1
Norrby
10 Oct
Norrby
2 : 0
Oster
20 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 0
Norrby
Page 1 of 7

Varberg

(Away)
01 Nov
Varberg
2 : 2
Ljungskile
27 Oct
Landskrona
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Oct
Varberg
0 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Oct
Ostersund
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2
Brage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 29 20 5 4 61:18 65
2 Falkenberg 29 16 6 7 54:39 54
3 Varberg 29 13 9 7 48:37 48
4 Ostersund 29 12 12 5 38:29 48
5 Landskrona 29 13 8 8 48:34 47
6 Oddevold 29 12 9 8 50:38 45
7 Oster 29 14 3 12 49:45 45
8 Nordic United 29 11 9 9 45:49 42
9 Sandviken 29 11 8 10 47:38 41
10 Varnamo 29 10 5 14 38:48 35
11 Helsingborg 29 8 8 13 37:51 32
12 Ljungskile 29 7 10 12 37:42 31
13 Orebro 29 6 11 12 32:44 29
14 Norrby 29 5 12 12 31:44 27
15 Brage 29 6 8 15 46:57 26
16 Sundsvall 29 6 1 22 21:69 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)