Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norrby vs Varberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Borås Arena, Borås
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Axede C.
58' Event
Arlig W.
Assist: Johansson N.
62'
Sub
Johansson N. In: Dahlstrom N.
Out: Johansson N.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Norrby and Varberg finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Norrby
15%
Draws
59%
Varberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Norrby haven't matched Varberg's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Varberg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Norrby Clean Sheet 17%
Varberg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrby Varberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 12 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Superettan
Norrby vs Varberg
1:2
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Norrby
4:2
Jun 10, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Norrby
2:0
Mar 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Norrby
3:2
Jun 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Norrby
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norrby Compare

Top Goalscorer Axede C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Arlig W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kahed L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrby 36 / 100
Varberg 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrby Varberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Norrby scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Varberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Norrby remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Norrby VS Varberg
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Norrby

(Home)
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2
Varberg
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
05 Sept
Norrby
1 : 3
Landskrona
31 Aug
Sundsvall
1 : 0
Norrby
26 Aug
Dalstorps
0 : 2
Norrby
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Varberg

(Away)
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2
Varberg
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
30 Aug
Varberg
3 : 1
Oddevold
25 Aug
Orebro
2 : 1
Varberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 24 16 4 4 45:15 52
2 Falkenberg 24 13 5 6 46:33 44
3 Ostersund 24 11 9 4 33:24 42
4 Varberg 24 12 5 7 41:31 41
5 Landskrona 24 10 7 7 35:25 37
6 Oddevold 24 9 9 6 37:32 36
7 Oster 24 11 3 10 37:35 36
8 Nordic United 24 9 9 6 37:36 36
9 Sandviken 24 9 7 8 39:31 34
10 Helsingborg 24 8 5 11 36:45 29
11 Varnamo 24 7 5 12 31:44 26
12 Ljungskile 24 6 7 11 29:35 25
13 Orebro 24 5 9 10 25:35 24
14 Norrby 24 4 11 9 28:35 23
15 Brage 24 5 8 11 37:45 23
16 Sundsvall 24 5 1 18 16:51 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)