Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norrkoping vs Brage

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Norrkopings Idrottspark, Norrköping
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sise M.
7' Event
Sernelius N.
16' Event
Nyman C.
Assist: Sernelius N.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Norrkoping and Brage finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norrkoping.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Norrkoping
20%
Draws
6%
Brage
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Norrkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Norrkoping come out ahead of Brage on wins alone.
  • Norrkoping are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Norrkoping Clean Sheet 20%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrkoping Brage
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 18 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.89 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Superettan
Norrkoping vs Brage
3:0
May 16, 2026 Superettan
Brage vs Norrkoping
0:0
Feb 18, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Norrkoping vs Brage
1:1
Aug 1, 2010 Superettan
Brage vs Norrkoping
2:3
Apr 26, 2010 Superettan
Norrkoping vs Brage
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norrkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Sernelius N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nyman C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Brage Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrkoping 85 / 100
Brage 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrkoping Brage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norrkoping Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norrkoping found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Brage conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.

Recent resilience: Norrkoping stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Norrkoping VS Brage
2.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Norrkoping

(Home)
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Nordic United
1 : 3
Norrkoping
24 Aug
Norrkoping
2 : 1
Falkenberg
20 Aug
Vasalund
1 : 2
Norrkoping
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Brage

(Away)
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
29 Aug
Falkenberg
4 : 1
Brage
23 Aug
Brage
1 : 2
Nordic United
18 Aug
Karlbergs
2 : 0
Brage
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 23 16 3 4 45:15 51
2 Falkenberg 23 12 5 6 44:33 41
3 Ostersund 23 10 9 4 32:24 39
4 Varberg 23 11 5 7 39:30 38
5 Oddevold 23 9 8 6 37:32 35
6 Nordic United 23 9 8 6 36:35 35
7 Landskrona 23 9 7 7 31:25 34
8 Sandviken 23 9 6 8 38:30 33
9 Oster 23 10 3 10 34:34 33
10 Helsingborg 23 8 5 10 36:44 29
11 Varnamo 23 7 5 11 30:41 26
12 Ljungskile 23 6 7 10 29:33 25
13 Norrby 23 4 11 8 27:33 23
14 Orebro 23 5 8 10 24:34 23
15 Brage 23 5 7 11 36:44 22
16 Sundsvall 23 5 1 17 16:47 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)