Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norrkoping vs Ljungskile

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Norrkopings Idrottspark, Norrköping
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Tyren V.
Assist: Reljanovic E.
30'
Tyren V.
45' Event
Neffati M.
Assist: Opsahl A.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Norrkoping and Ljungskile finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Norrkoping
35%
Draws
20%
Ljungskile
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Norrkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Norrkoping come out ahead of Ljungskile on wins alone.
  • Norrkoping are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Norrkoping Clean Sheet 20%
Ljungskile Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrkoping Ljungskile
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Superettan
Norrkoping vs Ljungskile
2:2
Apr 11, 2026 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Norrkoping
0:1
Aug 27, 2010 Superettan
Norrkoping vs Ljungskile
2:1
May 22, 2010 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Norrkoping
2:1
Oct 5, 2009 Superettan
Norrkoping vs Ljungskile
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norrkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Neffati M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nyman C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ljungskile Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyren V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maric I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrkoping 58 / 100
Ljungskile 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrkoping Ljungskile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norrkoping Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norrkoping found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Norrkoping remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Ljungskile conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Norrkoping VS Ljungskile
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Norrkoping

(Home)
13 Sept
Norrkoping
0 : 0
Oddevold
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Nordic United
1 : 3
Norrkoping
24 Aug
Norrkoping
2 : 1
Falkenberg
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Ljungskile

(Away)
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
24 Aug
Ostersund
0 : 0
Ljungskile
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 24 16 4 4 45:15 52
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
4 Varberg 24 12 5 7 41:31 41
5 Landskrona 24 10 7 7 35:25 37
6 Oddevold 24 9 9 6 37:32 36
7 Oster 24 11 3 10 37:35 36
8 Nordic United 24 9 9 6 37:36 36
9 Sandviken 24 9 7 8 39:31 34
10 Helsingborg 24 8 5 11 36:45 29
11 Varnamo 24 7 5 12 31:44 26
12 Ljungskile 24 6 7 11 29:35 25
13 Orebro 24 5 9 10 25:35 24
14 Norrby 24 4 11 9 28:35 23
15 Brage 24 5 8 11 37:45 23
16 Sundsvall 24 5 1 18 16:51 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)