Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norrkoping vs Sandviken

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Norrkopings Idrottspark, Norrköping
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Fransson A.
Assist: Nyman C.
29' Event
Neffati M.
Assist: Jemal E.
56'
Sernelius N.

AI Match Summary

Norrkoping in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Norrkoping.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Norrkoping
35%
Draws
27%
Sandviken
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Norrkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Norrkoping have won more games recently than Sandviken.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Norrkoping taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Norrkoping here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Norrkoping Clean Sheet 20%
Sandviken Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norrkoping Sandviken
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Superettan
Sandviken vs Norrkoping
1:4
Jul 19, 2026 Superettan
Norrkoping vs Sandviken
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Norrkoping vs Sandviken
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Norrkoping vs Sandviken
3:1
Feb 28, 2021 Svenska Cupen
Sandviken vs Norrkoping
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norrkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Fransson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neffati M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sandviken Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norrkoping 58 / 100
Sandviken 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norrkoping Sandviken

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norrkoping Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norrkoping's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Norrkoping went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sandviken let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Norrkoping VS Sandviken
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Norrkoping

(Home)
19 Sept
Oster
1 : 3
Norrkoping
13 Sept
Norrkoping
0 : 0
Oddevold
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Nordic United
1 : 3
Norrkoping
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Sandviken

(Away)
19 Sept
Sandviken
4 : 2
Orebro
15 Sept
Brage
1 : 1
Sandviken
09 Sept
Sandviken
0 : 1
Oddevold
05 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 2
Sandviken
30 Aug
Sandviken
1 : 1
Oster
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)