Sport Picks
North Carolina Courage W vs Houston Dash W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, NC 
Match Events
15'
15'
Sub
Jacobs N. In: Staude N.
Out: Jacobs N.
37'
37'
Schlegel A.
42'
42'
Faasse K.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between North Carolina Courage W and Houston Dash W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Houston Dash W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Carolina Courage W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Houston Dash W haven't matched North Carolina Courage W's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans North Carolina Courage W's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 14%
Houston Dash W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Carolina Courage W | Houston Dash W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Houston Dash W
2:3
Apr 26, 2026 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs North Carolina Courage W
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs North Carolina Courage W
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Houston Dash W
2:1
May 25, 2024 NWSL Women
Houston Dash W vs North Carolina Courage W
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Carolina Courage W Compare
Top Goalscorer Schlegel A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ijeh E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Houston Dash W Compare
Top Goalscorer Larisey C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Faasse K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North Carolina Courage W 84 / 100
Houston Dash W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North Carolina Courage W Houston Dash W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick North Carolina Courage W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: North Carolina Courage W scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Houston Dash W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Difficult form: Houston Dash W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
North Carolina Courage W VS Houston Dash W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
North Carolina Courage W
(Home) 03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2 Gotham FC W
27 Aug
North Carolina Courage W
2 : 0 Angel City W
22 Aug
North Carolina Courage W
2 : 1 Boston Legacy W
16 Aug
North Carolina Courage W
2 : 3 Houston Dash W
01 Aug
North Carolina Courage W
5 : 0 Orlando Pride W
Page 1 of 3
Houston Dash W
(Away) 04 Oct
Houston Dash W
2 : 3 Washington Spirit W
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Houston Dash W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1 Utah Royals W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1 Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
20 Sept
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Houston Dash W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1 Houston Dash W
30 Aug
Seattle Reign W
1 : 0 Houston Dash W
23 Aug
Bay FC W
1 : 0 Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
