Sport Picks
North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns FC W
USA
NWSL Women WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, NC 
Match Events
12'
12'
Turner R.
Assist: Perry J.
25'
25'
Sub
Turner R. In: Alidou d'Anjou M.
Out: Turner R.
28'
28'
Matsukubo M.
Assist: Wickenheiser C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Portland Thorns FC W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Portland Thorns FC W lately — more wins on the board than North Carolina Courage W.
- Win probability leans Portland Thorns FC W's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 14%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Carolina Courage W | Portland Thorns FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs North Carolina Courage W
0:0
Jun 9, 2024 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs North Carolina Courage W
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Carolina Courage W Compare
Top Goalscorer Matsukubo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Turner R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Moultrie O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North Carolina Courage W 23 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North Carolina Courage W Portland Thorns FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: North Carolina Courage W scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Portland Thorns FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Portland Thorns FC W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
North Carolina Courage W VS Portland Thorns FC W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
North Carolina Courage W
(Home) 25 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 4 Utah Royals W
18 Jul
Bay FC W
3 : 0 North Carolina Courage W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
3 : 1 Seattle Reign W
31 May
Angel City W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 4 Utah Royals W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
3 : 1 Seattle Reign W
16 May
North Carolina Courage W
4 : 0 Chicago Stars W
02 May
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2 Kansas City Current W
Page 1 of 3
Portland Thorns FC W
(Away) 25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Gotham FC W
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
24 May
Kansas City Current W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
08 May
Racing Louisville W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
03 May
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2 Portland Thorns FC W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Spirit W | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 36 |
| 2 | Gotham FC W | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 22:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Utah Royals W | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 26:18 | 30 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave W | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns FC W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current W | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 28:24 | 28 |
| 7 | Orlando Pride W | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Angel City W | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 23:16 | 22 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 10 | Seattle Reign W | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Denver Summit W | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:21 | 18 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars W | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8:31 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville W | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 19:33 | 11 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
