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Stadium Background

North Carolina Courage W vs Seattle Reign W

USA USA

NWSL Women WakeMed Soccer Park
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Menti S.
Assist: Huerta S.
22' Event
Sanchez A.
Assist: Ijeh E.
57'
Sub
Wickenheiser C. In: Rauch F.
Out: Wickenheiser C.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between North Carolina Courage W and Seattle Reign W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Carolina Courage W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
North Carolina Courage W
6%
Draws
4%
Seattle Reign W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: North Carolina Courage W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • North Carolina Courage W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans North Carolina Courage W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 20%
Seattle Reign W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Carolina Courage W Seattle Reign W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Seattle Reign W
3:1
Sep 29, 2025 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs North Carolina Courage W
2:1
Mar 22, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Seattle Reign W
1:2
Aug 26, 2024 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs North Carolina Courage W
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Seattle Reign W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Carolina Courage W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Seattle Reign W Compare

Top Goalscorer Menti S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Carolina Courage W 85 / 100
Seattle Reign W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Carolina Courage W Seattle Reign W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Carolina Courage W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Seattle Reign W conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: North Carolina Courage W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Carolina Courage W VS Seattle Reign W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gotham FC W1593319:1030
2San Diego Wave W1692523:1729
3Washington Spirit W1483322:1127
4Portland Thorns FC W1683525:1827
5Utah Royals W1583422:1627
6Kansas City Current W1581623:2225
7Angel City W1471622:1422
8North Carolina Courage W1463520:1921
9Orlando Pride W1662821:2120
10Denver Summit W1454521:1919
11Bay FC W1453616:1918
12Seattle Reign W1452715:1917
13Boston Legacy W1544716:2116
14Houston Dash W1544718:2416
15Chicago Stars W1540118:3012
16Racing Louisville W14221016:278