Sport Picks
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W
USA
NWSL Women WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, NC 
Match Events
38'
38'
Santos L.
Assist: Wiesner K.
45'
45'
Rodman T.
Assist: Rudd T.
50'
50'
Sanchez A.
AI Match Summary
Washington Spirit W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Washington Spirit W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: North Carolina Courage W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Washington Spirit W lately — more wins on the board than North Carolina Courage W.
- Model gives North Carolina Courage W a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 14%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Carolina Courage W | Washington Spirit W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W
1:1
Jun 8, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs North Carolina Courage W
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Washington Spirit W
0:1
Jun 29, 2024 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs North Carolina Courage W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Carolina Courage W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Washington Spirit W Compare
Top Goalscorer Santos L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rodman T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North Carolina Courage W 57 / 100
Washington Spirit W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North Carolina Courage W Washington Spirit W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
North Carolina Courage W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Washington Spirit W conceded in 61% of 33 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: North Carolina Courage W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
North Carolina Courage W VS Washington Spirit W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
North Carolina Courage W
(Home) 18 Jul
Bay FC W
3 : 0 North Carolina Courage W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
3 : 1 Seattle Reign W
31 May
Angel City W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
23 May
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
3 : 1 Seattle Reign W
16 May
North Carolina Courage W
4 : 0 Chicago Stars W
02 May
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2 Kansas City Current W
04 Apr
North Carolina Courage W
2 : 2 Portland Thorns FC W
Page 1 of 3
Washington Spirit W
(Away) 19 Jul
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
16 Jul
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 Washington Spirit W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Houston Dash W
30 May
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
Page 1 of 7
19 Jul
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2 Washington Spirit W
16 Jul
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 Washington Spirit W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2 Washington Spirit W
24 May
Club America W
5 : 3 Washington Spirit W
16 May
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1 Washington Spirit W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Spirit W | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Gotham FC W | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 19:10 | 30 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 23:17 | 29 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns FC W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:18 | 27 |
| 5 | Utah Royals W | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 27 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current W | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Angel City W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22:14 | 22 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Orlando Pride W | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 21:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Bay FC W | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Seattle Reign W | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Houston Dash W | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18:24 | 16 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy W | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars W | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 8:30 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | 8 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)