Sport Picks
North Carolina FC vs Loudoun United
USA
USL Cup 2025 WakeMed Soccer Park, Cary, NC 
Match Events
19'
19'
Tingey K.
27'
27'
Aboukoura A.
29'
29'
Servania J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with North Carolina FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North Carolina FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and North Carolina FC come out ahead of Loudoun United on wins alone.
- Win probability leans North Carolina FC's way, sitting at 42%.
- North Carolina FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor North Carolina FC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors North Carolina FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
North Carolina FC Clean Sheet 20%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Carolina FC | Loudoun United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 1, 2025 USL Championship
North Carolina FC vs Loudoun United
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs North Carolina FC
0:1
Jul 26, 2025 USL Cup
North Carolina FC vs Loudoun United
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 USL Championship
North Carolina FC vs Loudoun United
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Loudoun United vs North Carolina FC
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Carolina FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Perez L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Loudoun United Compare
Top Goalscorer Bidois R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North Carolina FC 42 / 100
Loudoun United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North Carolina FC Loudoun United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
North Carolina FC scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Loudoun United let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: North Carolina FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Loudoun United
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
North Carolina FC
(Home) 09 Nov
North Carolina FC
0 : 2 Rhode Island
01 Nov
North Carolina FC
1 : 0 Loudoun United
25 Oct
Loudoun United
0 : 1 North Carolina FC
18 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 0 Rhode Island
10 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 2 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6
09 Nov
North Carolina FC
0 : 2 Rhode Island
01 Nov
North Carolina FC
1 : 0 Loudoun United
18 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 0 Rhode Island
10 Oct
North Carolina FC
0 : 2 Phoenix Rising
26 Sept
North Carolina FC
1 : 0 Miami FC
Page 1 of 4
Loudoun United
(Away) 25 Jul
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Loudoun United
18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Tampa Bay
11 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 0 Loudoun United
03 Jul
Loudoun United
2 : 2 Sporting Jax
24 Jun
Charleston
4 : 1 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Loudoun United
11 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 0 Loudoun United
24 Jun
Charleston
4 : 1 Loudoun United
21 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1 Loudoun United
10 Jun
Greenville Triumph
3 : 1 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacramento Republic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Las Vegas Lights | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Monterey Bay | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Orange County SC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | AV Alta FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Oakland Roots | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Phoenix Rising | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 7 |
| 4 | Colorado Springs | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 5 | El Paso Locomotive | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Union Omaha | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 7 | Texoma FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | 1 |
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indy Eleven | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 11 |
| 2 | Birmingham Legion | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 4 |
| 5 | Forward Madison | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 6 | One Knoxville | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rhode Island | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Hartford Athletic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 6 | Westchester SC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Loudoun United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | North Carolina FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Lexington | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Richmond Kickers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:11 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greenville Triumph | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 3 | South Georgia Tormenta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Charleston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 6 | FC Naples | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - USL Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
