Sport Picks
North District vs Lee Man Warriors Prediction & H2H Stats
Hong Kong
League Cup 2025/2026 North District Sports Ground, Hongkong 
Match Events
16'
16'
Mikael
20'
20'
Villalobos E.
33'
33'
Wu C. R.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Lee Man Warriors advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Lee Man Warriors carry the better recent record into this one.
- North District are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Lee Man Warriors arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lee Man Warriors, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
North District Clean Sheet 10%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North District | Lee Man Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 21 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 2.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Premier League
North District vs Lee Man Warriors
2:4
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
North District vs Lee Man Warriors
3:3
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs North District
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 League Cup
North District vs Lee Man Warriors
1:2
May 17, 2025 Premier League
North District vs Lee Man Warriors
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North District Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Lee Man Warriors Compare
Top Goalscorer Tursunov D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Poon Pui-Hin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North District 38 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North District Lee Man Warriors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick North District Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
North District found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
North District has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Lee Man Warriors conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
North District VS Lee Man Warriors
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
North District
(Home) 01 Oct
North District
2 : 1 Southern District
13 Sept
North District
5 : 0 Hong Kong Rangers
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5 North District
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0 Kitchee
23 Aug
North District
2 : 0 Tai Po
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
North District
2 : 1 Southern District
13 Sept
North District
5 : 0 Hong Kong Rangers
29 Aug
North District
0 : 0 Kitchee
23 Aug
North District
2 : 0 Tai Po
10 May
North District
2 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 4
Lee Man Warriors
(Away) 19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1 Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0 Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0 Kowloon City
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1 Lee Man Warriors
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2 Lee Man Warriors
10 May
North District
2 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Kitchee -
TBD -
TBD -
Hong Kong Rangers -
Kowloon City -
TBD -
Southern District 1
Eastern District 4
North District -
TBD -
TBD -
Lee Man Warriors -
Hong Kong FC -
TBD -
Tai Po 3
Eastern AA 1
Quarter-finals
Kitchee 3
Hong Kong Rangers 0
Kowloon City 2
Eastern District 1
North District 1
Lee Man Warriors 2
Hong Kong FC 0
Tai Po 3
Semi-finals
Kitchee 1
Kowloon City 0
Lee Man Warriors 1
Tai Po 0
Final
Kitchee 1
Lee Man Warriors 2
