Sport Picks
North District vs Southern District
Hong Kong
Premier League North District Sports Ground, Hongkong 
Match Events
26'
26'
Shin Il-Soo
35'
35'
Pereira S.
46'
46'
Sub
Arboleda Y. In: Vinicius Soares
Out: Arboleda Y.
AI Match Summary
North District in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored North District.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Southern District
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- North District average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of Southern District's 1.38.
- Southern District are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
North District Clean Sheet 12%
Southern District Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North District | Southern District |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Southern District vs North District
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 FA Cup
Southern District vs North District
1:3
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
North District vs Southern District
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
North District vs Southern District
2:3
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Southern District vs North District
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North District Compare
Top Goalscorer Samuel Granada
1 Goals Assists Leader David K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Southern District Compare
Top Goalscorer Pereira S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North District 14 / 100
Southern District 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North District Southern District
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: North District scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Southern District conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
North District has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
North District VS Southern District
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
North District
(Home) 24 May
Eastern District
3 : 2 North District
10 May
North District
2 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
01 May
Eastern AA
3 : 1 North District
25 Apr
North District
2 : 2 Kitchee
18 Apr
Tai Po
3 : 2 North District
Page 1 of 7
10 May
North District
2 : 4 Lee Man Warriors
25 Apr
North District
2 : 2 Kitchee
12 Apr
North District
3 : 3 Lee Man Warriors
14 Mar
North District
2 : 1 Hong Kong Rangers
01 Mar
North District
2 : 2 Eastern District
Page 1 of 3
Southern District
(Away) 09 May
Southern District
2 : 2 Eastern District
03 May
Hong Kong FC
1 : 4 Southern District
26 Apr
Southern District
3 : 1 Kowloon City
19 Apr
Hong Kong Rangers
3 : 1 Southern District
12 Apr
Kowloon City
2 : 1 Southern District
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Hong Kong FC
1 : 4 Southern District
19 Apr
Hong Kong Rangers
3 : 1 Southern District
12 Apr
Kowloon City
2 : 1 Southern District
15 Mar
Tai Po
1 : 0 Southern District
15 Feb
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0 Southern District
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 47:15 | 50 |
| 2 | Lee Man Warriors | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 47:19 | 36 |
| 3 | North District | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 36:27 | 31 |
| 4 | Tai Po | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 36:26 | 31 |
| 5 | Eastern AA | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:28 | 25 |
| 6 | Kowloon City | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 22:33 | 21 |
| 7 | Eastern District | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Southern District | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:28 | 18 |
| 9 | Hong Kong Rangers | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:38 | 17 |
| 10 | Hong Kong FC | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12:53 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation Group)
