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North East United vs Diamond Harbour

India India

Durand Cup 2025 Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

North East United play Diamond Harbour in the Durand Cup 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, North East United averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Diamond Harbour averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, North East United won 1, Diamond Harbour won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 23, 2025 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for North East United and 2.25 for Diamond Harbour. This points to a North East United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
North East United
18%
Draws
40%
Diamond Harbour
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: North East United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • North East United picked up more points recently compared to Diamond Harbour.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
North East United Clean Sheet 10%
Diamond Harbour Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North East United Diamond Harbour
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.83 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Durand Cup
North East United vs Diamond Harbour
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North East United Compare

Top Goalscorer Akhtar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gogoi P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Diamond Harbour Compare

Top Goalscorer Majcen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North East United 40 / 100
Diamond Harbour 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North East United Diamond Harbour

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: North East United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

North East United attacking → ← attacking Diamond Harbour

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North East United scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Diamond Harbour let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

North East United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Diamond Harbour lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 58
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38