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North East United vs FC 1 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Durand Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gogoi P.
53' Event
Gogoi P.
67' Event
Ajaraie A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
North East United
15%
Draws
35%
FC 1
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North East United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • FC 1 haven't matched North East United's recent run of results.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • North East United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor North East United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
North East United Clean Sheet 17%
FC 1 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North East United FC 1
Matches Played 31 3
Wins 15 1
Draws 8 0
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 2.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Durand Cup
North East United vs FC 1
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North East United Compare

Top Goalscorer Gogoi P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ajaraie A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

FC 1 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilyas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North East United 30 / 100
FC 1 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North East United FC 1

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North East United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North East United found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

FC 1 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 3 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: North East United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

North East United VS FC 1
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

North East United

(Home)
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2
North East United
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
26 Sept
Sreenidi Deccan
0 : 3
North East United
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
17 Aug
Lajong
2 : 5
North East United
Page 1 of 7

FC 1

(Away)
11 Aug
North East United
3 : 1
FC 1
06 Aug
Bodoland FC
3 : 0
FC 1
03 Aug
Karbi Anglong
1 : 2
FC 1

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 3 3 0 0 15:0 9
2 East Bengal 3 2 0 1 13:1 6
3 South United 3 1 0 2 2:13 3
4 CISF Protectors 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Army Red 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Samaleswari SC 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Mohammedan 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
4 Baghpat 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Delhi 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Jamshedpur 3 2 0 1 12:2 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 1 0 2 3:14 3
4 Defenders FC 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Raengdai 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
2 TRAU FC 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 NEROCA 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Indian Navy 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lajong 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Langsning 3 1 2 0 10:5 5
3 Nongkseh 3 1 1 1 9:4 4
4 Mumbay FC 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Bodoland FC 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 FC 1 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Karbi Anglong 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)