Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North East United vs Mohun Bagan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

ISL Indira Gandhi Athletic Stadium, Guwahati
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

North East United host Mohun Bagan in the ISL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Mohun Bagan have shipped 0.64 goals a game lately, while North East United have conceded 1.44 and scored 1.94. Head-to-head, North East United have won 0 to Mohun Bagan's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 29, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.75) point toward Mohun Bagan. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
North East United
20%
Draws
47%
Mohun Bagan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • North East United haven't matched Mohun Bagan's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mohun Bagan have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
North East United Clean Sheet 12%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North East United Mohun Bagan
Matches Played 34 36
Wins 15 23
Draws 10 10
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.94 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 IFA Shield
Mohun Bagan vs North East United
1:1
Aug 20, 2026 Durand Cup
Mohun Bagan vs North East United
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 ISL
North East United vs Mohun Bagan
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 ISL
North East United vs Mohun Bagan
0:2
Sep 23, 2024 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs North East United
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North East United 30 / 100
Mohun Bagan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North East United Mohun Bagan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North East United's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

North East United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mohun Bagan has conceded goals in 46% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

North East United VS Mohun Bagan
3 Goals Scored 2.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

North East United

(Home)
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2
North East United
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
26 Sept
Sreenidi Deccan
0 : 3
North East United
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
17 Aug
Lajong
2 : 5
North East United
Page 1 of 7

Mohun Bagan

(Away)
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Churchill Brothers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 East Bengal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Mohun Bagan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bengaluru FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Chennaiyin FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Odisha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 FC Goa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Kerala Blasters 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Mumbai City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 North East United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Minerva Punjab 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Inter Kashi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 SC Delhi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)
Promotion - ISL (Play Offs)