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North East United vs Mohun Bagan

India India

ISL Indira Gandhi Athletic Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Robinho
Assist: Samad S.
25'
Kaith V.
40'
Sub
Oram B. In: Singh T.
Out: Oram B.

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan in this ISL matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mohun Bagan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
North East United
20%
Draws
38%
Mohun Bagan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North East United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mohun Bagan lately — more wins on the board than North East United.
  • Model gives North East United a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mohun Bagan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
North East United Clean Sheet 15%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North East United Mohun Bagan
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 19
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 ISL
North East United vs Mohun Bagan
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 ISL
North East United vs Mohun Bagan
0:2
Sep 23, 2024 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs North East United
3:2
Aug 31, 2024 Durand Cup
Mohun Bagan vs North East United
2:3
Feb 17, 2024 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs North East United
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North East United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North East United 41 / 100
Mohun Bagan 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North East United Mohun Bagan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

North East United found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Mohun Bagan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Solid form: North East United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

North East United VS Mohun Bagan
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal1375130:1126
2Mohun Bagan1375123:926
3Mumbai City1374217:925
4Bengaluru FC1365218:1223
5Jamshedpur1364315:1022
6Minerva Punjab1364318:1222
7FC Goa1355315:1120
8Kerala Blasters1352615:1717
9North East United1344516:2116
10Inter Kashi1334611:1713
11Odisha FC1325614:2211
12SC Delhi1325613:1711
13Chennaiyin FC132389:219
14Mohammedan1303107:323