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North Esporte Clube vs Novo Esporte

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between North Esporte Clube and Novo Esporte finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novo Esporte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
North Esporte Clube
20%
Draws
38%
Novo Esporte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Novo Esporte haven't matched North Esporte Clube's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans North Esporte Clube's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
North Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 16%
Novo Esporte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Esporte Clube Novo Esporte
Matches Played 33 22
Wins 15 10
Draws 12 5
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 Mineiro 3
North Esporte Clube vs Novo Esporte
0:0
Oct 7, 2022 Mineiro 3
Novo Esporte vs North Esporte Clube
2:3
Aug 27, 2022 Mineiro 3
North Esporte Clube vs Novo Esporte
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Esporte Clube 41 / 100
Novo Esporte 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Esporte Clube Novo Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

North Esporte Clube scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

North Esporte Clube went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Novo Esporte let in goals in 55% of their last 22 matches.

Scoring Trends

North Esporte Clube VS Novo Esporte
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

North Esporte Clube

(Home)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
01 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
Uberlandia
21 Feb
Uberlandia
1 : 1
North Esporte Clube
14 Feb
America MG
2 : 1
North Esporte Clube
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Novo Esporte

(Away)
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Novo Esporte
0 : 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube
09 Nov
Boa
3 : 0
Novo Esporte
01 Nov
Novo Esporte
2 : 0
Essube
25 Oct
Tupi-MG
0 : 3
Novo Esporte
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Esporte Clube751112:516
2Valeriodoce751111:516
3America TO742111:614
4Novo Esporte741213:813
5Boston City723211:89
6Contagem72238:78
7Juventus Minasnovense71068:143
8Ideal FC70070:210
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itabirito760112:118
2Villa Real74127:413
3Santarritense73318:412
4Tres Coracoes731312:1310
5Passos72325:59
6Figueirense Esporte Clube71426:107
7Betis71335:86
8Pocos de Caldas70162:121
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araxa75207:217
2Coimbra Esporte Clube741213:813
3Nacional Uberaba740311:812
4Mamore733112:812
5Inter de Minas72237:88
6Serranense71338:106
7Paracatu71337:126
8Sao Gotardo70254:132
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)