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North Ferriby FC vs Matlock Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Dwyer A.
63' Event
Margetts J.
78' Event
Dwyer A.

AI Match Summary

Matlock in this FA Trophy 2023/2024 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
North Ferriby FC
20%
Draws
73%
Matlock
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matlock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Matlock lately — more wins on the board than North Ferriby FC.
  • Matlock are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Matlock arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Matlock, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
North Ferriby FC Clean Sheet 10%
Matlock Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Ferriby FC Matlock
Matches Played 17 33
Wins 5 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.18 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.12 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2023 FA Trophy
North Ferriby FC vs Matlock
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Ferriby FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

Matlock Compare

Top Goalscorer Dwyer A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Margetts J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Ferriby FC 10 / 100
Matlock 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Ferriby FC Matlock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matlock Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matlock let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

North Ferriby FC scored in 59% of their last 17 games.

Solid form: North Ferriby FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

North Ferriby FC VS Matlock
0.67 Goals Scored 2
2.33 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

North Ferriby FC

(Home)
08 Sept
Barton Town
2 : 0
North Ferriby FC
05 Sept
North Ferriby FC
0 : 0
Barton Town
29 Aug
Lower Breck
4 : 0
North Ferriby FC
28 Jul
North Ferriby FC
3 : 6
Scunthorpe
19 Sept
Bridlington Town
2 : 0
North Ferriby FC
Page 1 of 4

Matlock

(Away)
26 Sept
Matlock
0 : 4
Kettering
12 Sept
Matlock
5 : 1
Nuneaton
29 Aug
Lichfield City
0 : 5
Matlock
25 Jul
Carlton Town
1 : 4
Matlock
18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1
Rotherham
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hereford -
TBD -
Haringey Borough 1
Redbridge 2
Bognor Regis 3
Gosport Borough 0
South Park 2
Leighton Town 1
Frome Town 1
Cribbs 0
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers 4
Chesham 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Poole Town 2
Bracknell Town 3
Larkhall 1
Horsham FC 2
AFC Totton 2
Merthyr Town 1
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters 0
Leiston 1
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge 5
Bamber Bridge 1
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 1
Stamford 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham 0
Cray Valley 2
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
North Ferriby FC 0
Matlock 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
Macclesfield 4
Halesowen 1
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Bath City -
TBD -
Harrow Borough 1
Beaconsfield Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Walsall Wood 2
Guiseley 1
Alvechurch 0
Coalville Town 1
TBD -
Boston United -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slough Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine 0
Basingstoke 3
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Aveley -
TBD -
St Ives Town 3
Marine 1
Westfield 1
Hungerford 3
TBD -
Truro -
Banbury -
TBD -
Nuneaton 2
Hyde 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Stafford 5
Quorn 3
TBD -
Brackley -
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
South Shields -
Farsley -
TBD -
United of Manchester 2
Radcliffe 3
Redditch 3
Ashton United 0
TBD -
Rushall -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Oxford City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough 1
Avro 0
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay 5
Bury Town 0
TBD -
Tamworth -
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spennymoor -
TBD -
Worksop 0
Mickleover 5
Hendon 2
Walton & Hersham 1
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Weymouth -
Hythe 3
Ramsgate 1
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Kingstonian 0
Whitehawk 4
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Lewes 2
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Blyth Spartans -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Nantwich 1
Stratford 0
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
1/64-finals
Hereford 4
Redbridge 1
Bognor Regis 1
South Park 4
Frome Town 3
Worthing FC 2
Torquay 2
Yeovil 1
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Weston-super-Mare 4
Cray Wanderers 1
TBD -
Woking -
Bracknell Town 0
Horsham FC 3
AFC Totton 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Leiston 1
Peterborough Sports 4
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Stourbridge 2
King’s Lynn 1
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Buxton 1
City Of Liverpool 3
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Southend -
TBD -
Cray Valley 1
Hampton & Richmond 5
Curzon Ashton 2
Matlock 0
Alfreton 2
Macclesfield 4
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Stortford 3
St. Albans 1
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Bath City 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Hemel Hempstead 1
Walsall Wood 2
Coalville Town 2
Boston United 1
Bromley -
TBD -
Slough Town 2
Farnborough 1
Chippenham Town 2
Basingstoke 1
Gloucester City 3
Braintree 0
Aveley 2
St Ives Town 1
Hungerford 2
Truro 0
Banbury 2
Nuneaton 4
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Welling 3
Taunton Town 2
Stafford 0
Brackley 1
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Southport 4
South Shields 0
Farsley 2
Radcliffe 4
Redditch 2
Rushall 1
Barnet -
TBD -
Dartford 0
Maidstone 1
Oxford City -
TBD -
Harborough 0
Chelmsford 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Billericay 3
Tamworth 1
Oldham -
TBD -
Spennymoor 1
Mickleover 3
Hendon 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Dover Ath. 4
Weymouth 5
Hythe 1
Tonbridge 0
Whitehawk 3
Lewes 1
Chorley 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Warrington Town 1
Blyth Spartans 3
Scunthorpe 2
Darlington FC 0
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Nantwich 1
Chester 0
TBD -
York City -
1/32-finals
Hereford 1
South Park 0
Frome Town 1
Torquay 4
Rochdale 1
Gateshead 5
Weston-super-Mare 3
Woking 2
Horsham FC 2
AFC Totton 0
Dagenham & Red. 1
Peterborough Sports 2
Kidderminster 4
Stourbridge 1
Halifax 0
Altrincham 1
City Of Liverpool 1
Hartlepool 5
Southend 2
Hampton & Richmond 3
Curzon Ashton 0
Macclesfield 2
Dorking Wanderers 3
Maidenhead 0
Ebbsfleet 1
Stortford 2
Eastleigh 2
Aldershot 3
Bath City 1
Boreham Wood 0
Walsall Wood 0
Coalville Town 2
Bromley 1
Slough Town 0
Chippenham Town 5
Gloucester City 3
Aveley 2
Hungerford 1
Nuneaton 2
AFC Fylde 3
Welling 2
Brackley 1
Chesterfield 6
Southport 1
Radcliffe 4
Redditch 0
Barnet 4
Maidstone 0
Oxford City 0
Chelmsford 1
Wealdstone 4
Billericay 1
Oldham 4
Mickleover 3
Hendon 2
Weymouth 0
Hythe 3
Whitehawk 2
Chorley 2
Blyth Spartans 0
Scunthorpe 0
Solihull Moors 2
Nantwich 3
York City 2
1/16-finals
Hereford 2
Torquay 0
Gateshead 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Horsham FC 0
Peterborough Sports 3
Kidderminster 1
Altrincham 0
Hartlepool 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Macclesfield 5
Dorking Wanderers 0
Stortford 6
Aldershot 1
Bath City 0
Coalville Town 1
Bromley 2
Chippenham Town 1
Aveley 1
AFC Fylde 0
Welling 2
Chesterfield 0
Radcliffe 1
Barnet 2
Chelmsford 0
Wealdstone 1
Oldham 1
Hendon 2
Hythe 1
Chorley 2
Solihull Moors 5
Nantwich 1
1/8-finals
Hereford 0
Gateshead 1
Peterborough Sports 1
Kidderminster 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Macclesfield 2
Stortford 0
Coalville Town 3
Bromley 2
Aveley 0
Welling 0
Barnet 3
Wealdstone 4
Hendon 0
Chorley 1
Solihull Moors 3
Quarter-finals
Gateshead 3
Peterborough Sports 2
Macclesfield 3
Coalville Town 0
Bromley 2
Barnet 0
Wealdstone 1
Solihull Moors 2
Semi-finals
Gateshead 2
Macclesfield 1
Bromley 1
Solihull Moors 2
Final
Gateshead 3
Solihull Moors 2