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North Geelong Warriors vs Manningham United Blues Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Mladenis C.
37' Event
Panakos Y.
49' Event
Harding R.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League game between North Geelong Warriors and Manningham United Blues finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manningham United Blues.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
North Geelong Warriors
15%
Draws
0%
Manningham United Blues
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Geelong Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Manningham United Blues have managed 1.4 goals a game lately — North Geelong Warriors are scoring more at 1.43.
  • North Geelong Warriors are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
North Geelong Warriors Clean Sheet 13%
Manningham United Blues Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Geelong Warriors Manningham United Blues
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.43 1.4
Goals Conceded 2 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Manningham United Blues vs North Geelong Warriors
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Manningham United Blues
1:3
Jul 9, 2022 Victoria Premier League
Manningham United Blues vs North Geelong Warriors
1:1
Apr 23, 2022 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Manningham United Blues
2:0
May 11, 2019 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Manningham United Blues
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Geelong Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Chapman A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Manningham United Blues Compare

Top Goalscorer Mladenis C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Panakos Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Geelong Warriors 84 / 100
Manningham United Blues 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Geelong Warriors Manningham United Blues

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Geelong Warriors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manningham United Blues's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Manningham United Blues lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: North Geelong Warriors scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Geelong Warriors VS Manningham United Blues
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

North Geelong Warriors

(Home)
30 Aug
Langwarrin
1 : 1
North Geelong Warriors
22 Aug
North Geelong Warriors
3 : 0
Western United U21
15 Aug
Brunswick City
4 : 0
North Geelong Warriors
08 Aug
Melbourne Srbija
1 : 0
North Geelong Warriors
01 Aug
North Geelong Warriors
0 : 4
Bulleen
Page 1 of 6

Manningham United Blues

(Away)
30 Aug
Brunswick Juventus
3 : 0
Manningham United Blues
23 Aug
Manningham United Blues
0 : 3
Melbourne Victory U21
14 Aug
Eltham Redbacks
5 : 0
Manningham United Blues
01 Aug
Manningham United Blues
0 : 1
Port Melbourne Sharks
25 Jul
Manningham United Blues
1 : 5
Melbourne Knights
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melbourne Knights 24 15 4 5 43:19 49
2 Brunswick Juventus 24 15 2 7 42:26 47
3 Melbourne Victory U21 24 13 4 7 55:32 43
4 Northcote City 24 13 4 7 38:27 43
5 Bulleen 24 12 6 6 44:30 42
6 Eltham Redbacks 24 10 6 8 53:37 36
7 Melbourne Srbija 24 11 3 10 27:25 36
8 Manningham United Blues 24 9 3 12 32:48 30
9 North Geelong Warriors 24 9 2 13 32:49 29
10 Brunswick City 24 8 3 13 40:49 27
11 Langwarrin 24 6 6 12 40:52 24
12 North Sunshine Eagles 24 5 5 14 29:38 20
13 Port Melbourne Sharks 24 4 4 16 12:55 16
14 Western United U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)