Sport Picks
North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Victory U21 Prediction & H2H Stats
Australia
Victoria Premier League 
Match Events
4'
4'
Lee A.
27'
27'
Olukhale M.
AI Match Summary
The Victoria Premier League game between North Geelong Warriors and Melbourne Victory U21 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melbourne Victory U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melbourne Victory U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- North Geelong Warriors haven't matched Melbourne Victory U21's recent run of results.
- Model gives Melbourne Victory U21 a 59% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Melbourne Victory U21 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
North Geelong Warriors Clean Sheet 10%
Melbourne Victory U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Geelong Warriors | Melbourne Victory U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Victory U21
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Victory U21 vs North Geelong Warriors
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Melbourne Victory U21
2:3
Mar 10, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Victory U21 vs North Geelong Warriors
4:0
Aug 25, 2019 Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Victory U21 vs North Geelong Warriors
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Geelong Warriors Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Melbourne Victory U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Lee A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Olukhale M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North Geelong Warriors 10 / 100
Melbourne Victory U21 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North Geelong Warriors Melbourne Victory U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Melbourne Victory U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
North Geelong Warriors found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Melbourne Victory U21 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
North Geelong Warriors went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
North Geelong Warriors VS Melbourne Victory U21
0.63 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
North Geelong Warriors
(Home) 30 Aug
Langwarrin
1 : 1 North Geelong Warriors
22 Aug
North Geelong Warriors
3 : 0 Western United U21
15 Aug
Brunswick City
4 : 0 North Geelong Warriors
08 Aug
Melbourne Srbija
1 : 0 North Geelong Warriors
01 Aug
North Geelong Warriors
0 : 4 Bulleen
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
North Geelong Warriors
3 : 0 Western United U21
01 Aug
North Geelong Warriors
0 : 4 Bulleen
18 Jul
North Geelong Warriors
0 : 2 Melbourne Victory U21
04 Jul
North Geelong Warriors
1 : 1 Port Melbourne Sharks
13 Jun
North Geelong Warriors
2 : 1 Northcote City
Page 1 of 3
Melbourne Victory U21
(Away) 19 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
1 : 2 Northcote City
11 Sept
Melbourne Victory U21
2 : 0 Eltham Redbacks
30 Aug
Melbourne Victory U21
4 : 0 Port Melbourne Sharks
23 Aug
Manningham United Blues
0 : 3 Melbourne Victory U21
17 Aug
Melbourne Victory U21
0 : 1 Northcote City
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Manningham United Blues
0 : 3 Melbourne Victory U21
18 Jul
North Geelong Warriors
0 : 2 Melbourne Victory U21
10 Jul
Langwarrin
3 : 3 Melbourne Victory U21
05 Jul
Western United U21
3 : 2 Melbourne Victory U21
13 Jun
Bulleen
2 : 4 Melbourne Victory U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne Knights | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 43:19 | 49 |
| 2 | Brunswick Juventus | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 42:26 | 47 |
| 3 | Melbourne Victory U21 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 55:32 | 43 |
| 4 | Northcote City | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 38:27 | 43 |
| 5 | Bulleen | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 44:30 | 42 |
| 6 | Eltham Redbacks | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 53:37 | 36 |
| 7 | Melbourne Srbija | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 8 | Manningham United Blues | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 32:48 | 30 |
| 9 | North Geelong Warriors | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 10 | Brunswick City | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 40:49 | 27 |
| 11 | Langwarrin | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 40:52 | 24 |
| 12 | North Sunshine Eagles | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | 20 |
| 13 | Port Melbourne Sharks | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12:55 | 16 |
| 14 | Western United U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)
