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North Geelong Warriors vs North Sunshine Eagles

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

North Geelong Warriors play North Sunshine Eagles in the Victoria Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, North Geelong Warriors averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. North Sunshine Eagles averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, North Geelong Warriors won 2, North Sunshine Eagles won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for North Geelong Warriors and 1.31 for North Sunshine Eagles. This points to a North Geelong Warriors double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
North Geelong Warriors
15%
Draws
31%
North Sunshine Eagles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Geelong Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • North Geelong Warriors picked up more points recently compared to North Sunshine Eagles.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
North Geelong Warriors Clean Sheet 18%
North Sunshine Eagles Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Geelong Warriors North Sunshine Eagles
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.72 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs North Sunshine Eagles
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Victoria Premier League
North Sunshine Eagles vs North Geelong Warriors
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Geelong Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Wall P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chapman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

North Sunshine Eagles Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Geelong Warriors 52 / 100
North Sunshine Eagles 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Geelong Warriors North Sunshine Eagles

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Geelong Warriors Win (1)
Secondary Pick North Geelong Warriors & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

North Geelong Warriors attacking → ← attacking North Sunshine Eagles

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Geelong Warriors scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

North Sunshine Eagles let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

North Geelong Warriors went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

North Sunshine Eagles lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 27
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Northcote City19123434:1939
2Melbourne Knights19122534:1638
3Brunswick Juventus19120735:2636
4Melbourne Victory U211993745:3230
5Bulleen1985632:2629
6Melbourne Srbija1892724:2129
7Eltham Redbacks1984745:3428
8North Geelong Warriors1891832:3428
9Manningham United Blues1982933:3826
10Western United U2119811038:4525
11Brunswick City19721035:4123
12Langwarrin1964933:4222
13North Sunshine Eagles19431223:3615
14Port Melbourne Sharks19241310:4310