Sport Picks
North Geelong Warriors vs Port Melbourne Sharks
AI Match Summary
North Geelong Warriors play Port Melbourne Sharks in the Victoria Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, North Geelong Warriors averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Port Melbourne Sharks averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, North Geelong Warriors won 1, Port Melbourne Sharks won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for North Geelong Warriors and 1.19 for Port Melbourne Sharks. This points to a North Geelong Warriors double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- North Geelong Warriors has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Port Melbourne Sharks.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for North Geelong Warriors.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Victoria Premier League provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Geelong Warriors | Port Melbourne Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Geelong Warriors Compare
Port Melbourne Sharks Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
North Geelong Warriors scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Port Melbourne Sharks let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
North Geelong Warriors went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Port Melbourne Sharks lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne Knights | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 35:16 | 41 |
| 2 | Northcote City | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34:20 | 39 |
| 3 | Brunswick Juventus | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 40:30 | 39 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:35 | 31 |
| 5 | Eltham Redbacks | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:35 | 31 |
| 6 | Bulleen | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 29 |
| 7 | Melbourne Srbija | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 24:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Manningham United Blues | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 34:38 | 29 |
| 9 | North Geelong Warriors | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 33:37 | 28 |
| 10 | Western United U21 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 42:50 | 25 |
| 11 | Brunswick City | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 35:41 | 23 |
| 12 | Langwarrin | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 36:45 | 23 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:36 | 18 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne Sharks | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10:48 | 10 |