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Stadium Background

North Korea U17 vs Tajikistan U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Pak Kwang-Song
58' Event
Pak Kwang-Song
82' Event
Ri Kang-Rim

AI Match Summary

North Korea U17 host Tajikistan U17 in the AFC Asian Cup U17 2025. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: North Korea U17 at 1.13 goals for, 1.13 against; Tajikistan U17 at 2.13 for, 2.13 against. Head-to-head, North Korea U17 have won 1 to Tajikistan U17's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.63) back North Korea U17 to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
North Korea U17
28%
Draws
22%
Tajikistan U17
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: North Korea U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tajikistan U17 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to North Korea U17.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for North Korea U17.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in AFC Asian Cup U17 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
North Korea U17 Clean Sheet 14%
Tajikistan U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea U17 Tajikistan U17
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U17
North Korea U17 vs Tajikistan U17
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pak Kwang-Song
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ri Kang-Rim
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tajikistan U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U17 48 / 100
Tajikistan U17 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea U17 Tajikistan U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Korea U17 scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Tajikistan U17 let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

North Korea U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tajikistan U17 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Korea U17 VS Tajikistan U17
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uzbekistan U1733009:29
2Saudi Arabia U1732015:56
3China U1731024:43
4Thailand U1730032:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U1731117:54
2United Arab Emirates U1731114:54
3Australia U1731114:54
4Vietnam U1730303:33
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Indonesia U1733007:19
2South Korea U1732017:16
3Yemen U1731023:53
4Afghanistan U1730030:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tajikistan U1732015:56
2North Korea U1731206:35
3Oman U1731116:64
4Iran U1730124:71