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North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U17 2024
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Match Events

46' Event
Jon Il-Chong
Assist: Choe Il-Son

AI Match Summary

North Korea U17 W host Japan U17 W in the AFC Asian Cup Women U17 2024. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Japan U17 W have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while North Korea U17 W have conceded 0.38 and scored 5.13. Past meetings favor North Korea U17 W slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (3.06 - 2.25) back North Korea U17 W to edge this. North Korea U17 W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
North Korea U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
Japan U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: North Korea U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • North Korea U17 W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Japan U17 W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for North Korea U17 W.
  • Cup tournament structure in AFC Asian Cup Women U17 2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
North Korea U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea U17 W Japan U17 W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 28 19
Draws 0 4
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 5.13 4.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 5.13 4.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
5:1
Nov 1, 2025 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
5:1
May 19, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:0
Oct 21, 2016 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:0
Sep 21, 2010 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jon Il-Chong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.95
Avg xA / game 2.56

Japan U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 3.75
Avg xA / game 2.29

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U17 W 83 / 100
Japan U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea U17 W Japan U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Korea U17 W scored in 100% of their last 30 games.

Japan U17 W let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

North Korea U17 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Japan U17 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Korea U17 W VS Japan U17 W
5.13 Goals Scored 4.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Japan U17 W3
South Korea U17 W0
North Korea U17 W1
China U17 W0
Final
Japan U17 W0
North Korea U17 W1
South Korea U17 W2
China U17 W1