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North Korea U17 W vs Kenya U17 W

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World Cup Women U17 2024 Estadio Cibao FC
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AI Match Summary

North Korea U17 W play Kenya U17 W in the World Cup Women U17 2024. North Korea U17 W are favorites here. Recently, North Korea U17 W averaged 3.7 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Kenya U17 W averaged 1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, North Korea U17 W won 1, Kenya U17 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 20, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.77 for North Korea U17 W and 1.02 for Kenya U17 W. This points to a North Korea U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
North Korea U17 W
15%
Draws
26%
Kenya U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Korea U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • North Korea U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Kenya U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.77 vs 1.02 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
North Korea U17 W Clean Sheet 23%
Kenya U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea U17 W Kenya U17 W
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 28 2
Draws 0 2
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 3.7 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 World Cup Women U17
North Korea U17 W vs Kenya U17 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer So Ryu-Gyong
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ri Kuk-Hyang
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Kenya U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U17 W 58 / 100
Kenya U17 W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea U17 W Kenya U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick North Korea U17 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

North Korea U17 W attacking → ← attacking Kenya U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Korea U17 W scored in 100% of their last 30 games.

Kenya U17 W let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

North Korea U17 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kenya U17 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

84 Points in last 5 8
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.67
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.67

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nigeria U17 W33009:19
2Ecuador U17 W32016:46
3Dominican Republic U17 W30121:41
4New Zealand U17 W30122:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U17 W330010:29
2USA U17 W32018:36
3Colombia U17 W30122:51
4South Korea U17 W30121:111
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North Korea U17 W330011:19
2England U17 W32016:66
3Kenya U17 W31022:63
4Mexico U17 W30034:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U17 W32106:27
2Poland U17 W31202:05
3Brazil U17 W31112:24
4Zambia U17 W30031:70