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North Korea U20 W vs Japan U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women U20 Stadion ŁKS, Lodz
North Korea U20 W Logo

North Korea U20 W

2 - 0
FT
Japan U20 W Logo

Japan U20 W

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ri Su-Jong In: Ho Kyong
Out: Ri Su-Jong
55'
Sub
So Ryu-Gyong In: Choe Yon-A
Out: So Ryu-Gyong
65' Event
Furuta A.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
North Korea U20 W
20%
Draws
32%
Japan U20 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North Korea U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and North Korea U20 W come out ahead of Japan U20 W on wins alone.
  • Model gives North Korea U20 W a 48% chance of winning this.
  • North Korea U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor North Korea U20 W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors North Korea U20 W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
North Korea U20 W Clean Sheet 68%
Japan U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea U20 W Japan U20 W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 25 22
Draws 2 3
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 3.97 3.1
Goals Conceded 0.28 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 World Cup Women U20
North Korea U20 W vs Japan U20 W
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs North Korea U20 W
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 World Cup Women U20
North Korea U20 W vs Japan U20 W
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs North Korea U20 W
1:2
Mar 10, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U20
Japan U20 W vs North Korea U20 W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Choe Yon-A
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Japan U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U20 W 95 / 100
Japan U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea U20 W Japan U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Korea U20 W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: North Korea U20 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Japan U20 W has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

North Korea U20 W VS Japan U20 W
2.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea U20 W

(Home)
27 Sept
Spain U20 W
1 : 0
North Korea U20 W
23 Sept
North Korea U20 W
3 : 0
Colombia U20 W
20 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Canada U20 W
17 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Japan U20 W
13 Sept
Colombia U20 W
0 : 3
North Korea U20 W
Page 1 of 6

Japan U20 W

(Away)
17 Sept
North Korea U20 W
2 : 0
Japan U20 W
12 Sept
Italy U20 W
1 : 1
Japan U20 W
09 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 2
USA U20 W
06 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 1
New Zealand U20 W
09 Jun
England U20 W
0 : 1
Japan U20 W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Argentina U20 W 0
South Korea U20 W 1
Italy U20 W 2
China U20 W 1
Brazil U20 W 2
USA U20 W 1
Spain U20 W 2
Portugal U20 W 0
North Korea U20 W 2
Japan U20 W 0
France U20 W 1
Canada U20 W 3
England U20 W 0
Nigeria U20 W 3
Poland U20 W 0
Colombia U20 W 1
Quarter-finals
South Korea U20 W 1
Italy U20 W 3
Brazil U20 W 0
Spain U20 W 1
North Korea U20 W 2
Canada U20 W 0
Nigeria U20 W 0
Colombia U20 W 1
Semi-finals
Italy U20 W 0
Spain U20 W 2
North Korea U20 W 3
Colombia U20 W 0
Final
Spain U20 W 1
North Korea U20 W 0
Italy U20 W 1
Colombia U20 W 2