Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North Korea U23 vs Thailand U23

World World

Friendly International Xi'an International Football Center (Fengdong Stadium), Xi'an
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
An Kyong-ung
28' Event
Ri Il-song
(Penalty)
52' Event
Mamah J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between North Korea U23 and Thailand U23 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Korea U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
North Korea U23
15%
Draws
39%
Thailand U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Korea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Thailand U23 haven't matched North Korea U23's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans North Korea U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
North Korea U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea U23 Thailand U23
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.28 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
North Korea U23 vs Thailand U23
3:1
Jan 10, 2018 AFC Asian Cup U23
North Korea U23 vs Thailand U23
1:0
Jan 19, 2016 AFC Asian Cup U23
North Korea U23 vs Thailand U23
2:2
Mar 31, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
North Korea U23 vs Thailand U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer An Kyong-ung
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kung C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Thailand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamah J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea U23 95 / 100
Thailand U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea U23 Thailand U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Korea U23 found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Thailand U23 let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: North Korea U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Korea U23 VS Thailand U23
1.43 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea U23

(Home)
26 Sept
Japan U23
1 : 0
North Korea U23
23 Sept
Iran U23
1 : 4
North Korea U23
20 Sept
North Korea U23
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U23
16 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
North Korea U23
31 Mar
North Korea U23
3 : 1
Thailand U23
Page 1 of 6

Thailand U23

(Away)
26 Sept
China U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
23 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
20 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 5
Thailand U23
16 Sept
Thailand U23
3 : 2
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5
United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 7