Sport Picks

North Korea vs Uzbekistan Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia

Asian Cup Kingdom Arena, Riyadh

Uzbekistan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Asian Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: North Korea at 1.38 goals for, 1.42 against; Uzbekistan at 1.6 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, North Korea have won 0 to Uzbekistan's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 19, 2024, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.85 - 1.43) back Uzbekistan to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

North Korea

20%

Draws

60%

Uzbekistan

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uzbekistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Uzbekistan have won more games recently than North Korea.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Uzbekistan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Uzbekistan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Uzbekistan have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

North Korea Clean Sheet 17%

Uzbekistan Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	North Korea	Uzbekistan
Matches Played	24	30
Wins	7	17
Draws	6	6
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	1.38	1.6
Goals Conceded	1.42	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.85	1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 World Championship

North Korea vs Uzbekistan

0:1

Sep 5, 2024 World Championship

Uzbekistan vs North Korea

1:0

Jun 7, 2019 Friendly International

Uzbekistan vs North Korea

4:0

Oct 13, 2018 Friendly International

Uzbekistan vs North Korea

2:0

Nov 12, 2015 World Championship

Uzbekistan vs North Korea

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea 31 / 100

Uzbekistan 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

North Korea Uzbekistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Korea found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (24 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Uzbekistan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Uzbekistan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Uzbekistan

0 Goals Scored 1.75

0 Goals Conceded 0.5

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea

(Home)

10 Jun

Iran

3 : 0

North Korea

05 Jun

North Korea

2 : 2

Kyrgyzstan

25 Mar

North Korea

1 : 2

United Arab Emirates

20 Mar

Qatar

5 : 1

North Korea

14 Mar

Jordan

1 : 1

North Korea

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Uzbekistan

(Away)

01 Oct

Uzbekistan

4 : 1

Syria

24 Sept

Uzbekistan

3 : 1

Iran

27 Jun

D.R. Congo

3 : 1

Uzbekistan

23 Jun

Portugal

5 : 0

Uzbekistan

18 Jun

Uzbekistan

1 : 3

Colombia

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