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Stadium Background

North Korea W vs Chinese Taipei W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Women Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa, Shizuoka
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Song Chun-Sim
29' Event
Myong Yu-Jong
Assist: Chae Un-Yong
29'
Sub
Chang Chi-Ian In: Pan Yen-Hsin
Out: Chang Chi-Ian

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 5-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
North Korea W
15%
Draws
32%
Chinese Taipei W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and North Korea W come out ahead of Chinese Taipei W on wins alone.
  • Model gives North Korea W a 53% chance of winning this.
  • North Korea W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor North Korea W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and North Korea W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
North Korea W Clean Sheet 10%
Chinese Taipei W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Korea W Chinese Taipei W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 20 16
Draws 5 0
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 5.07 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.67 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Asian Games Women
North Korea W vs Chinese Taipei W
5:1
Mar 19, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W vs North Korea W
0:4
Dec 7, 2023 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
North Korea W vs Chinese Taipei W
5:0
Oct 9, 2013 East Asian Games Women
North Korea W vs Chinese Taipei W
7:0
Dec 4, 2006 Asian Games Women
Chinese Taipei W vs North Korea W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Song Chun-Sim
1 Goals
Assists Leader Myong Yu-Jong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Chinese Taipei W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chen Yu-Chin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Korea W 83 / 100
Chinese Taipei W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Korea W Chinese Taipei W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Korea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: North Korea W scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Chinese Taipei W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: North Korea W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

North Korea W VS Chinese Taipei W
4.38 Goals Scored 3.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea W

(Home)
02 Oct
North Korea W
2 : 3
Japan W
29 Sept
North Korea W
2 : 0
China W
25 Sept
North Korea W
5 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
21 Sept
South Korea W
1 : 1
North Korea W
17 Sept
Myanmar W
0 : 8
North Korea W
Page 1 of 6

Chinese Taipei W

(Away)
25 Sept
North Korea W
5 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Chinese Taipei W
2 : 1
Vietnam W
09 Jun
South Korea W
5 : 3
Chinese Taipei W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
North Korea W 5
Chinese Taipei W 1
China W 1
Vietnam W 0
Japan W 4
Philippines W 0
South Korea W 6
Uzbekistan W 3
Semi-finals
North Korea W 2
China W 0
Japan W 2
South Korea W 0
Final
North Korea W 2
Japan W 3
China W 0
South Korea W 1