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North Macedonia U21 vs Latvia U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Puzirevskis A.
69' Event
Rekis K.
83' Event
Rekis K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between North Macedonia U21 and Latvia U21 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Latvia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
North Macedonia U21
35%
Draws
49%
Latvia U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Latvia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Latvia U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
North Macedonia U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Latvia U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Macedonia U21 Latvia U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.77 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2023 Friendly International
North Macedonia U21 vs Latvia U21
0:3
Mar 24, 2019 Friendly International
North Macedonia U21 vs Latvia U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Macedonia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Latvia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rekis K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Puzirevskis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Macedonia U21 36 / 100
Latvia U21 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Macedonia U21 Latvia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latvia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Latvia U21 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

North Macedonia U21's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: North Macedonia U21 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Macedonia U21 VS Latvia U21
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

North Macedonia U21

(Home)
26 Aug
North Macedonia U21
1 : 5
Morocco U20
24 Aug
Turkey U20
3 : 0
North Macedonia U21
22 Aug
Tunisia U21
0 : 0
North Macedonia U21
08 Jun
North Macedonia U21
0 : 2
USA U20
30 May
Bulgaria U21
1 : 0
North Macedonia U21
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Latvia U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Latvia U21
0 : 4
Germany U21
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
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