Sport Picks
North Macedonia vs Latvia
Europe
UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 National Arena Toshe Proeski, Skopje 
Match Events
24'
24'
Sub
Elmas E. In: Qamili L.
Out: Elmas E.
30'
30'
Savalnieks R.
53'
53'
Serafimov N.
AI Match Summary
North Macedonia in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored North Macedonia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Latvia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Latvia haven't matched North Macedonia's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on North Macedonia taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors North Macedonia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
North Macedonia Clean Sheet 17%
Latvia Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | North Macedonia | Latvia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 0.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 13, 2025 Friendly International
North Macedonia vs Latvia
0:0
Nov 14, 2024 UEFA Nations League
North Macedonia vs Latvia
1:0
Oct 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Latvia vs North Macedonia
0:3
Sep 9, 2019 Euro
Latvia vs North Macedonia
0:2
Mar 21, 2019 Euro
North Macedonia vs Latvia
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
North Macedonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Serafimov N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Latvia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
North Macedonia 36 / 100
Latvia 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
North Macedonia Latvia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: North Macedonia scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.
Latvia has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Latvia lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
North Macedonia VS Latvia
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
North Macedonia
(Home) 01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0 North Macedonia
29 May
Bosnia & Herzegovina
0 : 0 North Macedonia
31 Mar
Ireland
0 : 0 North Macedonia
26 Mar
Denmark
4 : 0 North Macedonia
18 Nov
Wales
7 : 1 North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6
13 Nov
North Macedonia
0 : 0 Latvia
13 Oct
North Macedonia
1 : 1 Kazakhstan
07 Sept
North Macedonia
5 : 0 Liechtenstein
06 Jun
North Macedonia
1 : 1 Belgium
25 Mar
North Macedonia
1 : 1 Wales
Page 1 of 3
Latvia
(Away) 25 Sept
Armenia
2 : 0 Latvia
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1 Faroe Islands
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1 Latvia
31 Mar
Latvia
1 : 0 Gibraltar
26 Mar
Gibraltar
0 : 1 Latvia
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Armenia
2 : 0 Latvia
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1 Latvia
26 Mar
Gibraltar
0 : 1 Latvia
16 Nov
Serbia
2 : 1 Latvia
13 Nov
North Macedonia
0 : 0 Latvia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Belarus | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Macedonia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Armenia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League C/D)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
